Thursday, August 6, 2026

Covered Call Position Established in AppLovin Corporation

This morning a new short-term Covered Call net debit buy/write limit order was established in AppLovin Corporation (ticker APP) for the August 21st, 2026 expiration and at the $310.00 strike price.  The stock price declined by 20% this morning after yesterday afternoon's quarterly earnings results.  Investors reacted negatively to quarterly revenue and forward quarter guidance that were slightly below expectations.  But I believe this decline is overdone since this year's earnings and next year's forecasted growth now imply a forward PEG Ratio less than 1.0. 

Today's limit order was placed at a $301.02, so the extrinsic value (which represents the maximum profit potential for this position) was $8.98 per share [$34.00 Call option premium - ($335.02 stock purchase price - $310.00 strike price)].  The Implied Volatility of the Call option was 70.2% and the probability that this position will be in-the-money and therefore assigned on its options expiration date was 69.2% when this order was transacted.

AppLovin is a $140 billion market cap leading global provider of a full-stack AI/Machine Learning powered software platform for advertisers to monetize their mobile advertising applications content.  They have a self-serve ads-management dashboard that has enhanced the rate at which they add new customers which will continue to support their revenue growth and also their substantial GAAP profit margins.  Their visionary CEO is Adam Foroughi who was one of the co-founders of the company in 2012.  Their IPO was in 2021.  They employ highly educated machine learning research scientists with graduate degrees from top-rated universities.  

As detailed below, the potential return-on-investment result is +3.0% absolute return-on-investment in 15 days (equivalent to a +72.5% annualized return-on-investment).  

AppLovin Corporation (APP) -- New Covered Call Position
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was as follows:
8/6/2026 Bought 100 shares of AppLovin stock @ $335.02 per share.  
8/6/2026 Sold 1 AppLovin August 21st $310.00 Call option @ $34.00 per share.
Note: The Implied Volatility of the Call option was 70.2% when this transaction was executed which, as preferred, substantially exceeds the current 15.6 of the S&P 500 Volatility Index (i.e. VIX). 

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Call Cost Basis: $30,102.67
= ($335.02 - $34.00) * 100 shares + $.67 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Option Income: +$3,399.33
= ($34.00 * 100 shares) - $.67
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00 
(c) Capital Appreciation (If AppLovin stock is above the $310.00 strike price at the 8/21/2026 options expiration date): -$2,502.00
= ($310.00 strike price - $335.02 stock purchase price) * 100 shares

Total Net Profit Potential: +$897.33
= (+$3,399.33 option income + $0.00 dividend income - $2,502.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +3.0%
= +$897.33/$30,102.67
Potential Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment: +72.5%
= (+$897.33/$30,102.67) * (365/15 days)