NVIDIA reported their Q4 earnings after the market close two days ago. They substantially beat analysts' estimates on all relevant metrics including both earnings and revenue (which at $68.1 billion was 72.4% above the comparable quarter last year). In addition, their next quarter guidance at $78 billion is 76.9% above last year. Very surprisingly, their stock reacted very negatively yesterday. But I agree with the numerous sell-side equity research firms that raised their NVIDIA post-earnings target prices to approximately +40% above the $180.02 price I paid today. In short, I decided that the negative price reaction to earnings is unwarranted -- so this morning I established this new Covered Calls position.
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are: (1) +2.5% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +64.6% annualized return-on-investment for the next 14 days) if NVIDIA's share price is unchanged at the $180.02 stock purchase price on the March 13th, 2026 options expiration date; and (2) +5.3% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +138.5% annualized return-on-investment for the next 14 days) if NVIDIA's share price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $185.00 strike price) and therefore assigned on its March 13th, 2026 options expiration date.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) -- New Covered Call Position
Today's buy/write net limit order transaction was as follows:
2/27/2026 Bought 200 NVIDIA Corporation shares at $180.02.
2/27/2026 Bought 200 NVIDIA Corporation shares at $180.02.
2/27/2026 Sold 2 NVIDIA 3/13/2026 $185.00 Call options @ $4.35 per share. The Implied Volatility of these Calls was 44.8 when this position was established, well above (as preferred) the VIX which was at 20.7.
3/11/2026 Ex-dividend of $.01 per share. This miniscule dividend amount for the largest market cap company is ludicrous. 🤣
3/11/2026 Ex-dividend of $.01 per share. This miniscule dividend amount for the largest market cap company is ludicrous. 🤣
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this NVIDIA Corporation Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $35,135.34
= ($180.02 - $4.35) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission
Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$868.66
= ($4.35 * 200 shares) - $1.34 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$2.00 = $.01 per share x 200 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 200 NVIDIA shares close at the unchanged purchase price of $180.02 per share on the 3/13/2026 options expiration date): +$0.00
+($180.02 closing price at expiration - $180.02 stock purchase price) * 200 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 200 NVIDIA shares assigned (i.e. above the $185.00 strike price) on the 3/13/2026 options expiration date): +$996.00
+($185.00 strike price - $180.02 stock purchase price) * 200 shares
1. Total Net Profit Potential (If stock price closes at the unchanged purchase price of $180.02 per share on the 3/11/2026 options expiration date): +$870.66
= (+$868.66 option income + $2.00 dividend income + $0.00 capital appreciation)
2. Total Net Profit Potential (If 200 NVIDIA shares assigned at the $185.00 strike price on the 3/13/2026 options expiration date): +$1,866.66
= (+$868.66 option income + $2.00 dividend income + $996.00 capital appreciation)
1. Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment (If 200 NVDA shares closing price is unchanged at the original purchase price of $180.02 per share on the 3/11 options expiration date): +2.5%
= +$870.66/$35,135.34
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment (If 200 NVIDIA shares closing price is unchanged at the original $180.02 stock purchase price on the 3/11/2026 options expiration date): +64.6%
= (+$870.66/$35,135.34) * (365/14 days)
= +$870.66/$35,135.34
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment (If 200 NVIDIA shares closing price is unchanged at the original $180.02 stock purchase price on the 3/11/2026 options expiration date): +64.6%
= (+$870.66/$35,135.34) * (365/14 days)
2. Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment (If 200 NVIDIA shares assigned (i.e. sold) at the $185.00 strike price on the 3/11/2026 options expiration date): +5.3%
= (+$1,866.66/$35,135.34)
= (+$1,866.66/$35,135.34)
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment (If 200 NVIDIA shares assigned at the $185.00 strike price on the 3/11/2026 options expiration date): +138.5%
= (+$1,866.66/$35,135.34) * (365/14 days)
= (+$1,866.66/$35,135.34) * (365/14 days)
