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Wednesday, December 4, 2024

Established Covered Calls Position in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

Today a short-term in-the-money Covered Calls position was established in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (ticker TLT) at the December 27th, 2024 weekly options expiration date and at the $91.00 strike price.  Two hundred TLT shares were purchased at $92.60 per share and two 12/27/2024 $91.00 Calls were sold at $2.20 per share.  The corresponding potential time value profit is $.60 per share [$2.20 Call options premium - ($91.00 strike price - $92.60 ETF purchase price)].  The probability that these Calls will be in-the-money on the options expiration date was 72.4% when this position was established.  In addition to the potential time value profit of $.60 per share, there is an upcoming ex-distribution estimated to occur on December 19th which at approximately $.31 per share and which is prior to the December 27th options expiration date.  This is a repeat of a TLT Covered Calls position that was closed out on November 29th for an annualized return-on-investment achieved of +18.2%.  

Many investors are satisfied with buying-and-holding T-Bonds, but we Covered Calls investors know we can do better than the 4.46% yield currently available buying 20-year T Bonds.  As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are: (a) +0.7% absolute return (equivalent to +16.0% annualized return-on-investment for the next 15 days) if TLT is assigned early on the day prior to the Dec. 19th, 2024 ex-distribution date; or (b) +1.0% absolute return (equivalent to +15.9% annualized return-on-investment for the next 23 days) if it is in-the-money and therefore assigned at market close on the December 27th, 2024 options expiration date.  

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) -- New Covered Calls Position 
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was as follows:
12/4/2024 Bought 200 iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF shares at $92.60.
12/4/2024 Sold 2 TLT December 27th, 2024 $91.00 Call options @ $2.20 per share.
12/19/2024 Estimated ex-distribution of $.31 per share.

The overall performance results (including commissions) if TLT remains in-the-money at options expiration would be as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $18,081.34
= ($92.60 - $2.20) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission

Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$438.66
= ($2.20 * 200 shares) - $1.34 commission
(b) Distribution Income [If TLT is assigned early on the last business day prior to the December 19th ex-distribution date: +$0.00
(b) Distribution Income [If TLT price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $91.00 strike price) and the position is assigned (i.e. closed out) at options expiration on Dec. 27th]: +$62.00
= $.31 distribution per share x 200 TLT shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If TLT is assigned at the $91.00 strike price either early or on the 12/27/2024 options expiration date): -$320.00
= ($91.00 strike price - $92.60 purchase price) * 200 shares

Total Net Profit:
1.  If TLT shares are assigned early on the day prior to the ex-distribution date: +$118.66
     = (+$438.66 options income +$0.00 distribution income - $320.00 capital appreciation)
2.  If TLT share price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $91.00 strike price) at options expiration: +$180.66
= (+$438.66 options income + $62.00 distribution income - $320.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: 
1. If TLT shares are assigned early on the day prior to the ex-distribution date: +0.7%
    = +$118.66/$18,081.34
2. If TLT shares are above the $91.00 strike price at the Dec. 27th, 2024 options expiration): +1.0%
    = +$180.66/$18,081.34

Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment: 
1. If TLT shares are assigned early on the day prior to the ex-distribution date: +16.0% 
    = (+$118.66/$18,081.34) * (365/15 days)
2. If TLT shares are above the $91.00 strike price at the Dec. 27th, 2024 options expiration): +15.9%
    = (+$180.66/$18,081.34) * (365/23 days)

Monday, December 2, 2024

Three Short-Term Covered Calls Positions Established Using Dividend Capture Strategy -- Bank of America, Fedex, and Schlumberger

This morning Covered Calls were established in Bank of America Corp. (ticker BAC), Fedex Corporation (FDX), and SLB (formerly known as Schlumberger Ltd.). Short-term positions were selected for each position at the December 13th, 2024 weekly options expiration date. This strike price was preferable since the potential annualized return-on-investment in each case is higher for this 11-day duration than for the monthly 12/20/2024 monthly options expiration date. Also, in each case before establishing these positions, I had established a net buy/write limit price slightly below the midpoint of the buy/write price that existed when I entered my limit order. In each case, my limit price was executed within several minutes after I entered the orders. 

For Bank of America, 200 shares were purchased at $47.44 and 2 Dec. 13th, 2024 Call options were sold at $1.18 at the $46.50 strike price. For Fedex Corp., 100 shares were purchased at $296.04 and 1 December 13th, 2024 Call option was sold at $7.94 at the $290.00 strike price. For SLB, 400 shares were purchased at $43.22 and 4 Dec. 13th, 2024 Call options were sold at $1.48 at the $42.00 strike price. Given the Covered Calls Advisor's current "Neutral" Overall Market Meter outlook, moderately in-the-money Covered Calls positions were established.  The probability that the stock will be in-the-money on the options expiration dates was 75.0% for the Bank of America position, 72.9% for the Fedex, and 77.3% for the SLB position. 

All three positions have an intervening ex-dividend date prior to Dec. 13th, so the potential results detailed below includes the possibility of early exercise since the ex-dividends are prior to their respective options expiration dates. A positive fundamental factor is that analysts currently estimate that the earnings per share for each of these 3 companies is expected to increase over the next 12 months. Also of importance, none of the companies have a quarterly earnings report prior to their 12/13/2024 options expiration date.

Potential results for each position are detailed below.


1.  Bank of America Corporation (BAC) --
New Covered Calls Position

The buy/write transaction was:
12/2/2024 Bought 200 Bank of America Corp. shares @ $47.44
12/2/2024 Sold 2 BAC 12/13/2024 $46.50 Call options @ $1.18 per shareThe Implied Volatility of these Calls was 15.8 when this position was established.
12/6/2024 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.26 per share.

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $9,253.34
= ($47.44 - $1.18) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$234.66
= ($1.18 * 200 shares) - $1.34 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If Bank of America shares assigned on the business day prior to the Dec. 6th ex-dividend date): = +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If BAC shares assigned at the 12/13/2024 options expiration date): +$52.00
= $.26 per share x 200 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BAC shares assigned early): -$188.00
= ($46.50 strike price - $47.44 stock purchase price) * 200 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BAC shares assigned with stock above the $46.50 strike price at the December 13th, 2024 options expiration date): -$188.00
= ($46.50 -$46.44) * 200 shares

1. Potential Net Profit (If Bank of America shares assigned on 12/5/2024, the day prior to the Dec. 6th ex-dividend date): +$46.66
= (+$234.66 options income +$0.00 dividend income - $188.00 capital appreciation)
2. Potential Net Profit (If BAC price is above $46.50 strike price at the Dec. 13th options expiration): +$98.66
= (+$234.66 options income +$52.00 dividend income - $188.00 capital appreciation)

1. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If BofA shares assigned early on 12/5/2024, the day prior to the ex-dividend date): +0.5%
= +$46.66/$9,253.34
Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment (If assigned early on day prior to ex-div date): +46.0%
= (+$46.66/$9,253.34) * (365/4 days)

2. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If BAC price is above the $46.50 strike price at the Dec. 13th options expiration date): +1.1%
= +$98.66/$9,253.34
Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment (If assigned on the 12/13/2024 options expiration date): +35.4%
= (+$98.66/$9,253.34) * (365/11 days)


2.  Fedex Corporation (FDX) -- New Covered Call Position

The buy/write transaction was:
12/2/2024 Bought 100 Fedex shares @ $296.04.
12/2/2024 Sold 1 FDX 12/13/2024 $290.00 Call option @ $7.94 per share.
Note: Implied Volatility (IV) of the Call options was at 14.7 when this position was transacted which, as I prefer, is above the current VIX of 13.4.   
12/9/2024 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $1.38 per share. 

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this Fedex Corp. Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $28,810.67
= ($296.04 - $7.94) * 100 shares + $.67 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$793.33
= ($7.94 * 100 shares) - $.67 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If Fedex Call option is exercised early this Friday which is the last business day prior to next Monday's Dec. 9th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Fedex stock assigned at the Dec. 13th, 2024 options expiration): +$138.00
= ($1.38 dividends per share x 100 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Fedex's Call option is assigned early on Dec. 6th): -$604.00
+($290.00 strike price - $296.04 stock purchase price) * 100 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at $290.00 strike price at the 12/13/2024 options expiration): -$604.00
+($290.00 - $296.04) * 100 shares

1. Total Net Profit (If option exercised early): +$189.33
= (+$793.33 options income +$0.00 dividend income - $604.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If 100 Fedex shares assigned at the $290.00 strike price at the Dec. 13th, 2024 expiration): +$327.33
= (+$793.33 options income +$138.00 dividend income - $604.00 capital appreciation)

1. Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment [If option exercised on business day prior to the 12/9/2024 ex-dividend date]: +0.7%
= +$189.33/$28,810.67
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment (If option exercised early): +34.3%
= (+$189.33/$28,810.67) * (365/7 days); or
2. Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment (If Fedex's shares assigned on the Dec. 13th options expiration date): +1.1%
= +$327.33/$28,810.67
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment (If 100 Fedex shares assigned at $290.00 at the Dec. 13th, 2024 expiration): +37.7%
= (+$327.33/$28,810.67) * (365/11 days)



3.  Schlumberger Ltd. (SLB) -- New Covered Calls Position
The buy/write transaction was:
12/2/2024 Bought 400 SLB shares @ $43.22.
12/2/2024 Sold 4 USB 12/13/2024 $42.00 Call options @ $1.48 per share.
12/4/2024 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.275 per share. 

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this SLB Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $16,698.68
= ($43.22 - $1.48) * 400 shares + $2.68 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$589.32
= ($1.48 * 400 shares) - $2.68 commission
(b) Dividend Income (In the unlikely event that the SLB Call options exercised early on the last business day prior to this Wednesday's Dec. 4th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If SLB stock assigned at the Dec. 13th, 2024 options expiration): +$110.00
= ($.275 dividends per share x 400 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If SLB's Call options assigned early on Dec. 4th): -$488.00
+($42.00 strike price - $43.22 stock purchase price) * 400 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at $42.00 strike price at the 12/13/2024 options expiration): -$488.00
+($42.00 - $43.22) * 400 shares

1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised early (business day prior to the Dec. 4th ex-dividend date)]: +$101.32
= (+$589.32 options income +$0.00 dividend income - $488.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If 400 SLB shares assigned at the $42.00 strike price at the Dec. 13th, 2024 expiration): +$211.32
= (+$589.32 options income + $110.00 dividend income - $488.00 capital appreciation)

1. Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment [If option exercised on business day prior to the 12/4/2024 ex-dividend date]: +0.6%
= +$101.32/$16,698.68
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment (If option exercised early): +110.7%
= (+$101.32/$16,698.68) * (365/2 days); or
2. Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment (If SLB's shares assigned on the Dec. 13th options expiration date): +1.3%
= +$211.32/$16,698.68
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment (If 400 SLB shares assigned at $42.00 at the December 13th, 2024 expiration): +42.0%
= (+$211.32/$16,698.68) * (365/11 days)