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Wednesday, June 22, 2022

Established Covered Calls in Nucor Corporation

This morning, a July 15th, 2022 Covered Calls buy/write limit order was placed in Nucor Corporation (ticker NUE) at a net debit limit price of $95.42 per share.  The order was executed by purchasing 200 shares at $107.21 and simultaneously selling two July 15th Call options at the $97.50 strike price for $11.79 per share.  In addition, there is an upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.50 per share on June 29th (one week from today) which is included in the potential return-on-investment calculations detailed below.  When this moderately in-the-money position was established today it had a probability of assignment on the options expiration date of 75.5%. 

As shown below, Nucor meets the five primary criteria currently preferred for new purchases, especially its historically low P/E ratio valuation:

As detailed below for this Nucor Covered Calls position, the maximum potential return-on-investment result is +2.7% absolute return in 24 days (equivalent to a + 41.0% annualized return-on-investment) if the stock price is above the $97.50 strike price on the July 15th, 2022 options expiration dateThese returns will be achieved as long as the Nucor price is above the $97.50 strike price at options expiration.  If the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $94.92 per share ($107.21 stock purchase price - $11.79 Call options price sold - $.50 ex-dividend amount) provides a substantial 11.5% downside protection below today's stock purchase price.
 


Nucor Corporation (NUE) -- New Covered Calls Position
The simultaneous buy/write transaction today was as follows:
6/22/2022 Bought 200 Nucor Corporation shares @ $107.21
6/22/2022 Sold 2 Nucor 7/15/2022 $97.50 Call options @ $11.79 per share.  Note: the Implied Volatility of the Calls was 53.6 when this transaction was executed which (as I prefer) was well above the S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) of 30.1 when this transaction was executed.
6/29/2022 Ex-dividend of $.50 per share

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this Nucor Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $19,085.34
= ($107.21 - $11.79) * 200 shares + $1.34 commissions

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$2,356.66
= ($11.79 * 200 shares) - $1.34 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$100.00 = $.50 per share x 200 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Nucor shares assigned at $97.50 strike price at options expiration): -$1,942.00
+($97.50 stock selling price - $107.21 stock purchase price) * 200 shares

Total Net Profit (If Nucor shares assigned at $97.50 strike price at the July 15th, 2022 expiration): +$514.66
= (+$2,356.66 options income + $100.00 dividend income - $1,942.00 capital appreciation)
 
Absolute Return-on-Investment (If Nucor shares assigned at $97.50 strike price on the July 15th, 2022 options expiration date): +2.7%
= +$514.66/$19,085.34
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If Nucor stock assigned at $115.00 at Jan. 21st, 2022 expiration): +41.0%
= (+$514.66/$19,085.34) *(365/24 days)