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Wednesday, March 23, 2022

Established Covered Calls Position in Fifth Third Bancorp

This afternoon, a Covered Calls position was established in Fifth Third Bancorp (ticker symbol FITB) with the purchase of 300 shares at $45.69 per share and three April 14th, 2022 Call options were sold for $2.36 per share at the $44.00 strike price.  The Extrinsic Value (aka Time Value) in the Call options when this position was established was $.67 per share = [$2.36 options premium - ($45.69 stock price - $44.00 strike price)] per share.  Given the Covered Calls Advisor's currently cautious Overall Market Meter sentiment, a moderately in-the-money Covered Calls positions was established.  The Delta of the Calls was 69.1 when this buy/write transaction was executed which approximates the probability of assignment on the April 14th, 2022 options expiration date.  The next earnings report on April 19th is after the April 14th options expiration date, which is an important consideration for the Covered Calls Advisor. 

Fifth Third Bancorp is a large $32.5 billion market-cap regional bank operating primarily in the Midwest but also in the Southeast U.S.  Like many large-cap companies in the Financial Sector, Fifth Third provides only modest future compounded growth prospects, but they currently pay a $.30 quarterly dividend (2.6% annual dividend yield) with a March 30th, 2022 ex-dividend date.  I seek to establish positions in these low growth and dividend paying companies using my "Dividend Capture Strategy" (in situations where the ex-dividend date is in between the initiation date of the Covered Calls position and the options expiration date).  The goal of these "Dividend Capture Strategy" positions is to either to capture the quarterly dividend payment and for the stock prices to remain above the strike price at options expiration or to have the position assigned early on the day prior to the ex-dividend date at a higher annualized-return-on-investment than would be achieved if the position was instead assigned on its options expiration date.  As is true with this position (see chart with 9 criteria at the bottom of this post), this approach normally provides higher annualized-return-on-investment results than would be achieved with either: (1) Covered Calls in these same stocks during their non-ex-dividend months; or (2) A basic buy-and-hold stock purchase.

The average target price of the 22 brokerage company analysts covering Fifth Third is $52.08 (+14.0% above today's purchase price).  Like many analysts, I believe regional banks like Truist will benefit this year from increasing consumer loan demand as well as from greater net interest margins from increasing interest rates.

Two potential return-on-investment results for this Fifth Third Bancorp Covered Calls position are: (a) +1.5% absolute return (equivalent to +80.6% annualized return for the next 7 days) if the stock is assigned early [on the last trading day prior to the ex-dividend date]; OR (b) +2.2% absolute return (equivalent to +35.5% annualized return over the next 23 days) if the stock is assigned on the April 14th, 2022 monthly options expiration date. 

Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) -- New Covered Calls Position
The transactions were:
3/23/2022 Bought 300 Fifth Third Bancorp shares @ $45.69
3/23/2022 Sold 3 FITB 4/14/2022 $44.00 Call options @ $2.36 per share.
Note: the Implied Volatility of these Call options was 31.2 when this position was established.
3/30/2022 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.30 per share

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this
Fifth Third Bancorp Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $13,001.01
= ($45.69 - $2.36) * 300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$708.00
= ($2.36 * 300 shares)
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on the business day prior to the ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If FITB shares assigned at April 14th, 2022 expiration): +$90.00
= ($.30 dividend per share x 300 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Fifth Third shares assigned early): -$507.00
+($44.00 strike price - $45.69 stock purchase cost) * 300 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If FITB shares assigned at $44.00 strike price at options expiration): -$507.00
+($44.00- $45.69) * 300 shares


1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised on March 29th, 2022 (last business day prior to the March 30th ex-dividend date)]: +$201.00
= (+$708.00 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$507.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If Fifth Third Bancorp shares assigned at $44.00 at April 14th, 2022 options expiration): +$291.00
= (+$708.00 +$90.00 -$507.00)

1. Absolute Return (If Fifth Third Bancorp options exercised early on the business day prior to the expiration date): +1.5%
= +$201.00/$13,001.01
Annualized Return (If option exercised early): +80.6%
= (+$201.00/$13,001.01) * (365/7 days); or
2. Absolute Return (If Fifth Third Bancorp shares assigned at $44.00 strike price at April 14th, 2022 expiration): +2.2%
= +$291.00/$13,001.01
Annualized Return (If FITB stock assigned at $44.00 at Apr. 14th expiration): +35.5%
= (+$291.00/$13,001.01)*(365/23 days)

Either outcome would provide an attractive return-on-investment result.  These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $44.00 strike price at assignment.  If the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $43.03 ($45.69 -$2.36 -$.30) provides 5.8% downside protection below today's purchase price.

At least eight of the nine metrics used in the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy spreadsheet (see below) must be 'YES' prior to establishing a new Covered Calls position using the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture strategy.  As shown in the chart below, all nine criteria are achieved for this Fifth Third Bancorp Covered Calls position.