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Monday, September 20, 2021

Continuation of Covered Calls Positions in American Eagle

Today, the Covered Calls positions in American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (ticker AEO) was continued by selling Call options against the shares held in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.  Last Friday, AEO's $26.00 strike price Calls expired with the stock price substantially out-of-the-money at $23.05.  With the recent concerns regarding the extent of disruption that the Omicron variant might have for mall-based retailers, American Eagle's stock price suffered.  I believe the extent of the actual impact on mall traffic and sales will not be as significant as feared and there is a strong likelihood of a price rebound, so I decided to continue to sell Calls against the 500 AEO shares owned.  My current plan is to attempt to repair the damage done by continuing to sell short-term Calls against the 500 AEO shares owned.  Today 5 December 31st, 2021 $24.00 Calls were sold at $.22 per share when the stock price was $23.23--so this provides only one week until the next options expiration date at which time another decision will be made. 

As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:  (a) -6.7% absolute return (equivalent to -64.6% annualized return over the 38 days this position is held) if the stock price is unchanged at $23.23 on the December 31st, 2021 options expiration date; and (b) -3.7% absolute return (equivalent to -35.4% annualized return over the 38 days this position is held) if AEO stock is in-the-money and therefore assigned on the December 31st, 2021 options expiration date.


American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO) -- Continuation of Covered Calls Position
The transaction today was as follows:
11/24/2021 Bought 500 American Eagle Outfitters Inc. shares @ $27.43
11/24/2021 Sold 5 AEO 12/17/2021 $26.00 Call options @ $2.11
12/09/2021 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.18 per share
12/17/2021 5 Call options expired out-of-the-money and 500 shares of AEO retained in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.
12/23/2021 Sold 5 AEO 12/31/2021 $24.00 Call options @ $.22 per share when the stock price was $23.23 per share. 

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $12,663.35
= ($27.43 - $2.11) * 500 shares + $3.35 commissions

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,158.30
= ($2.11 + $.22) * 500 shares - $6.70 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$90.00
= $.18 per share x 500 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If American Eagle share price unchanged at $23.23 at Dec. 31st, 2021 expiration): -$2,100.00
= +($23.23 - $27.43) * 500 shares ;or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If AEO shares assigned at $24.00 strike price at 12/31/2021 options expiration): -$1,715.00
= +($24.00 - $27.43) * 500 shares


1. Total Net Profit (If American Eagle share price unchanged at $23.23 at Dec. 31st, 2021 expiration): -$851.70
= (+$1,158.30 options income +$90.00 dividend income - $2,100.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If AEO shares assigned at $24.00 strike price at Dec. 31st, 2021 expiration): -$466.70
= (+$1,158.30 + $90.00 - $1,715.00)

1. Absolute Return (If American Eagle share price unchanged at $23.23 at Dec. 31st, 2021 expiration): -6.7%
= -$851.70/$12,663.35
Annualized Return-on-Investment: -64.6%
= (-$851.70/$12,663.35) * (365/38 days); or
2. Absolute Return (If AEO shares assigned at $24.00 strike price at Dec. 31st, 2021 expiration): -3.7%
= -$466.70/$12,663.35
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If AEO stock assigned at $24.00 at Dec. 31st, 2021 expiration): -35.4%
= (-$466.70/$12,663.35) *(365/38 days)