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Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Covered Calls Position Established in Citigroup Inc.

Today, a Covered Calls position was established in Citigroup Inc. (ticker symbol C) with the purchase of 300 shares at $42.09 per share and three November 6th, 2020 Call options were sold for $2.34 at the $40.00 strike price.  Given the Covered Calls Advisor's current Overall Market Meter indicator of Bearish, a moderately in-the-money Covered Calls positions was established. 

This position continues the implementation of the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy of monthly Covered Calls on money center bank stocks.  Using good timing, as dictated using this advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy worksheet, selling in-the-money monthly Covered Calls for one of the four biggest U.S. money center banks (Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo) each month;
(JPMorgan for Jan, Apr, July, and Oct options expirations;
Citigroup and/or Wells Fargo for Feb, May, Aug, and Nov expirations; and
Bank of America for Mar, Jun, Sep, and Dec expirations).

The goal of these monthly Covered Calls in the money center banks is to both capture the quarterly dividend payment and for the stock prices to remain above the strike price at options expiration, therefore achieving the maximum possible return-on-investment result for the position.  So far, this approach has provided higher annualized return results than would be achieved with either: (1) Covered Calls in these same stocks during their non-ex-dividend months; or (2) A simple buy-and-hold stock purchase of these bank stocks.    Hopefully, the outperformance results achieved to-date using this strategy will continue with this November 6th Citigroup Covered Calls position.

Two potential return-on-investment results are: (a) +0.6% absolute return (equivalent to +76.5% annualized return for the next 3 days) if the stock is assigned early [prior to close of business this Thursday which is the last business day prior to Friday's ex-dividend date]; OR (b) +1.9% absolute return (equivalent to +63.4% annualized return over the next 11 days) if the stock is assigned on the November 6th options expiration date. 

These potential return-on-investment results for this position is detailed below and includes the possibility of early exercise by an owner of these Call options.  Fortunately, Citigroup reported their quarterly earnings twelve days ago on October 15th, so the next earnings report is not until mid-January of 2020, well after the options expiration date for this position.


Citigroup Inc. (C) -- New Covered Calls Position
It is unlikely, but if the current time value (i.e. extrinsic value) of $.25 per share = [$2.34 Call options price - ($42.09 stock price - $40.00 strike price)] remaining in the three short Call options decays substantially (down to about $.10 or less) by close of business in two days (this Thursday, which is the business day prior to the ex-dividend date), there is a possibility that the Call options owner would exercise early and therefore call the 300 Citigroup shares away to capture the dividend payment.

The transactions were:
10/27/2020 Bought 300 Citigroup shares @ $42.09
10/27/2020 Sold 3 Citigroup 11/06/2020 $40.00 Call options @ $2.34
10/30/2020 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.51 per share

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this
Citigroup Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $11,927.01
= ($42.09 - $2.34) *300 + $2.01 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$702.00
= ($2.34*300 shares)
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on October 29th, the business day prior to the ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Citi shares assigned at Nov 6th, 2020 expiration): +$153.00
= ($.51 dividend per share x 300 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Citigroup shares assigned early on October 29th): -$627.00
+($40.00-$42.09)*300 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Citi assigned at $40.00 strike price at options expiration): -$627.00
+($40.00-$42.09)*300 shares


1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised on Oct 29th (business day prior to Oct 30th ex-dividend date)]: +$75.00
= (+$702.00 +$0.00 -$627.00); or
2. Total Net Profit (If Citi shares assigned at $40.00 at Nov 6th, 2020 expiration): +$228.00
= (+$702.00 +$153.00 -$627.00)

1. Absolute Return [If Citigroup options exercised on Oct 29th (business day prior to ex-dividend date)]: +0.6%
= +$75.00/$11,927.01
Annualized Return (If option exercised early): +76.5%
= (+$75.00/$11,927.01)*(365/3 days); or
2. Absolute Return (If Citigroup shares assigned at $40.00 at Nov 6th, 2020 expiration): +1.9%
= +$228.00/$11,927.01
Annualized Return (If Citi stock assigned at $70.00 at Nov 15th expiration): +63.4%
= (+$228.00/$11,927.01)*(365/11 days)

Either outcome would provide a very good return-on-investment result.  These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $40.00 strike price at assignment.  If the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $39.24 ($42.09 -$2.34 -$.51) provides 6.8% downside protection below today's purchase price.

The Covered Calls Advisor has established a set of nine criteria to evaluate potential Covered Calls using a dividend capture strategy.  The minimum threshold desired to establish a position is that at least eight of these nine criteria must be achieved.  As shown in the table below, all nine criteria are achieved for this Citigroup Inc. Covered Calls position.