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Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Established Covered Call Position in T-Mobile US Inc.

My buy/write limit order in T-Mobile US Inc. (ticker TMUS) was executed this morning at the net debit limit price of $230.26 per share. One hundred shares were purchased at $240.65 and one June 6th, 2025 Call option was sold for $10.39 per share at the $232.50 strike price, a time value of $2.24 per share = [$10.39 Call option premium - ($240.65 stock price - $232.50 strike price)].  This position is moderately in-the-money since the probability that the position will be in-the-money on its June 6th options expiration date was 74.1% when this transaction was executed today.   

This position uses the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy (see here).  T-Mobile has an upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.88 per share that goes ex-dividend on May 30th, 2025 which is one week prior to the June 6th, 2025 options expiration date. This is equivalent to an absolute annual dividend yield of 1.5% (at the current $240.65 stock price). This dividend increases the potential annualized return-on-investment results (compared with a similar position without a dividend capture potential) and the dividend is included in the detailed potential return-on-investment calculations shown below.  Either an early assignment on the last business day prior to the ex-dividend date or on the June 6th, 2025 options expiration date would be a desirable result given the annualized return-on-investment potential upon assignment for either outcome.  As preferred, there is no intervening T-Mobile quarterly earnings report prior to their June 6th options expiration date.

T-Mobile is now one of the three telecom triopoly companies (along with Verizon and AT&T).  Together they hold about 97% of U.S. market share with T-Mobile at 131 million subscribers and a 32% share as of Q1 2025.  Verizon has 36% share and AT&T has 29% share.  It now seems most likely that 2025 will be a relatively stagnant retail sales environment in the U.S. overall, but consumers are likely to be unwilling to eliminate their cell phone subscriptions in a meaningful way.


As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are: 

  •  +1.0% absolute return (equivalent to +39.3% annualized return-on-investment for the next 9 days) if the stock is assigned early (the last business day prior to the May 30th ex-dividend date); OR 
  • +1.4% absolute return (equivalent to +30.8% annualized return over the next 16 days) if the stock is assigned on the June 6th, 2025 options expiration date.


T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) -- New Covered Call Position
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was:
5/21/2025 Bought 100 T-Mobile shares @ $240.65.
5/21/2025 Sold 1 T-Mobile 6/6/2025 $232.50 Call option @ $10.39 per share.
Note: the Implied Volatility of this Call option was 25.3 when this position was established.
5/30/2025 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.88 per share.

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this T-Mobile Covered Call position are as follows:
Covered Call Cost Basis: $23,026.67
= ($240.65 - $10.39) * 100 shares + $.67 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Option Income: +$1,038.33
= ($10.39 * 100 shares) - $.67 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If TMUS option exercised early on May 29th, the last business day prior to the May 30th, 2025 ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If stock is assigned on the June 6th, 2025 options expiration -- so the dividend is captured): +$88.00
= ($.88 dividend per share x 100 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If T-Mobile Call option is assigned early on May 29th): -$815.00
+($232.50 strike price - $240.65 stock purchase price) * 100 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at $232.50 strike price at options expiration): -$815.00
+($232.50 - $240.65) * 100 shares

1. Total Net Profit (If options exercised early): +$223.33
= (+$1,038.33 option income + $0.00 dividend income - $815.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If T-Mobile shares assigned at $232.50 strike price at the June 6th, 2025 expiration): +$311.33
= (+$1,038.33 option income + $88.00 dividend income - $815.00 capital appreciation)

1. Absolute Return-on-Investment [If option exercised on business day prior to the May 30th ex-dividend date]: +1.0%
= +$223.33/$23,026.67
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If option exercised early): +39.3%
= (+$223.33/$23,026.67) * (365/9 days); or
2. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If TMUS shares assigned on the June 6th, 2025 options expiration date): +1.4%
= +$311.33/$23,026.67
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If T-Mobile shares assigned at $232.50 at the June 6th, 2025 expiration): +30.8%
= (+$311.33/$23,026.67) * (365/16 days)

Either outcome provides a satisfactory return-on-investment result for this T-Mobile US Inc. Covered Call investment.  These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $232.50 strike price at assignment.  However, if the stock declines below the strike price, a breakeven price of $229.38 = ($240.65 stock price - $10.39 Call option price - $.88 dividend) provides 4.7% downside protection below today's stock purchase price.

Saturday, May 17, 2025

May 16th, 2025 Monthly Options Expiration Results

The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio had three Covered Calls positions with May 16th, 2025 monthly options expirations and all three positions closed with their stock prices in-the-money. The Calls expired yesterday with no remaining value and the Covered Calls were closed out by the stocks being sold at their respective strike prices, so the maximum potential return-on-investment profit was achieved for these three positions.  The return-on-investment details for each position is as follows:

1. Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) -- +6.0% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +41.3% annualized return-on-investment) for the 53 days of this investment.  This Nvidia Covered Calls position had a $115.00 strike price and it closed at $135.40 yesterday.  The most recent blog post showing the details of this position is here

2. Oneok Inc. (OKE) -- +2.3% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +39.1% annualized return-on-investment) for the 21 days of this investment.  This Oneok position had a $80.00 strike price and it closed at $85.67 yesterday.  The blog post showing the details of this position is here.

3. Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) -- +1.4% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +46.2% annualized return-on-investment) for the 11 days of this investment.  This Wells Fargo position had a $72.00 strike price and it closed at $76.18 yesterday.  The blog post showing the details of this position is here

As always, I welcome your questions at the email address shown below on any topics related to the Covered Calls investing strategy. 

Jeff Partlow
The Covered Calls Advisor
partlow@cox.net


Friday, May 16, 2025

Established Covered Calls in Nvidia Corporation

Today a Covered Calls position was established in Nvidia Corporation (ticker NVDA). Four hundred shares were purchased at $135.12 and four May 30th, 2025 weekly Call options were sold at the $125.00 strike price at $12.70 per share--a buy/write net debit amount of $122.42 per share which provides a $2.58 per share time value profit potential. 

Nvidia is very highly ranked in several of my stock screeners and although the TTM P/E Ratio is relatively high at 45, it is historically low for Nvidia and is satisfactory given its future estimated potential sales and profits growth rates.  So, I decided I wanted to continue with an ongoing Covered Calls position in Nvidia.  Since my current Nvidia CC position expires today and will be assigned, I established another new NVDA CC position to continue with my investment in Nvidia.  The Implied Volatility of these Calls is very high at 61.3 which is attributable to the existence of its quarterly earnings report on May 28th (which is prior to the May 30th options expiration date).  Consequently, I decided to establish a moderately in-the-money strike price with a 72.6% probability that the stock will be in-the-money on its 5/30/2025 expiration date. 
 
As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result is +2.1% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +54.8% annualized return-on-investment for the next 14 days) if the Nvidia share price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $125.00 strike price) and therefore assigned on its May 30th, 2025 options expiration date.  

Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) -- New Covered Calls Position

Today's buy/write net limit order transaction was as follows:
5/16/2025 Bought 400 Nvidia Corporation shares at $135.12.
5/16/2025 Sold 4 NVDA 5/30/2025 $125.00 Call options @ $12.70 per share.  

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this Nvidia Corporation Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $48,970.68
= ($135.12 - $12.70) * 400 shares + $2.68 commission

Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$5,077.32
= ($12.70 * 400 shares) - $2.68 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 400 Nvidia shares assigned at the $125.00 strike price at expiration): -$4,048.00
+($125.00 strike price - $135.12 stock purchase price) * 400 shares

Total Net Profit Potential (If 400 Nvidia shares in-the-money and therefore assigned at the $125.00 strike price at the options expiration date): +$1,029.32
= (+$5,077.32 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $4,048.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +2.1%
= +$1,029.32/$48,970.68
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment: +54.8%
= (+$1,029.32/$48,970.68) * (365/14 days)

Saturday, May 10, 2025

May 9th, 2025 Option Expiration Results

The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio had one Covered Calls position in D.R. Horton Inc. (DHI) at the May 9th, 2025 weekly options expiration date and at the $120.00 strike price.  The position closed in-the-money yesterday at $122.03 per share, so the Call options expired and the 200 DHI shares were sold at their $120.00 strike price.  So, despite a decline in the stock price from its original purchase price of $125.39 to $122.03 yesterday, this position was profitable because (a) an in-the-money Covered Calls strike price was selected; and (2) my dividend capture strategy (see here) was used.  A summary of the results is:

DHI -- +1.3% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +43.6% annualized return-on-investment) for the 11 days of this Covered Calls investment.  The original blog post when this position was established is here

Jeff Partlow
The Covered Calls Advisor
partlow@cox.net