Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Established Covered Call Position in Expand Energy Corporation

This afternoon a small Covered Call position was established in Expand Energy Corporation (ticker EXE) using my Dividend Capture Strategy. My net debit limit order at the August 21st, 2026 $90.00 strike price was executed when one Expand Energy Call option was sold at $2.66 and 100 shares were bought simultaneously at $91.26 per share. The net debit was $88.60 per share and the Call option's time value profit potential was $1.40 [$2.66 option price - ($91.26 stock price - $90.00 strike price)].  The probability that the Call will be in-the-money (i.e. above the $90.00 strike price) on the 8/21/2026 options expiration date was 59.4% when this position was established. There is an intervening ex-dividend of $.575 per share (2.5% annual dividend yield) on August 13th which is included in the potential return-on-investment results detailed below.

Expand Energy Corp. is the largest independent natural gas producer in North America, focused on acquiring, developing, and producing natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids from premier U.S. shale basins, with revenues generated through commodity sales and increasingly through marketing and logistics capabilities. Its business model emphasizes low-cost production, disciplined capital allocation, operational efficiency, and proximity to LNG export infrastructure to maximize long-term free cash flow and shareholder returns. It holds a leading competitive position in the U.S. natural gas industry following the merger of Chesapeake Energy and Southwestern Energy, giving it unmatched scale, high-quality acreage in the Haynesville and Appalachian basins, and one of the industry's deepest drilling inventories. While it competes with major producers such as EQT, Antero Resources, and Comstock Resources, its size, low-cost asset base, growing gas marketing capabilities, and strategic exposure to rising LNG exports position it as one of the industry's strongest long-term competitors.  

As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are: (1) +1.6% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to a +72.1% annualized return-on-investment in 8 days if the Call option is exercised and the stock is therefore assigned on the last business day prior to the August 13th ex-dividend date; and (2) +2.2% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to a +50.8% annualized return-on-investment in 16 days if the Expand Energy stock is in-the-money and the stock is assigned on its August 21st, 2026 options expiration date.

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) -- New Covered Call Position
The Buy/Write transaction was as follows:
8/5/2026 Bought 100 shares of Expand Energy Corp. stock @ $91.26 per share.  
8/5/2026 Sold 1 Expand Energy August 21st, 2026 $90.00 Call option @ $2.66 per share.  The Implied Volatility of the Call option was 26.6 which, as preferred, is well above the current 15.5 of VIX.
8/13/2026 Upcoming ex-dividend of $.575 per share

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Call Position Net Investment: $8,860.67
= ($91.26 - $2.66) * 100 shares + $.67 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Option Income: +$266.00
= ($2.66 * 100 shares)
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on Aug. 12th, the last business day prior to the August 13th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Expand Energy stock assigned at the Aug 21st, 2026 expiration): $57.50
= ($.575 dividend per share x 100 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Expand Energy Call option is assigned early on August 12th): -$126.00
+($90.00 strike price - $91.26 stock price) * 100 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at the $90.00 strike price at the Aug. 21st options expiration): -$126.00
+($90.00 - $91.26) * 100 shares

1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised early on the last business day prior to the August 13th ex-dividend date)]: +$140.00
= (+$266.00 option income +$0.00 dividend income -$126.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If stock shares assigned at the $90.00 strike price at the Aug. 21st, 2026 expiration): +$197.50
= (+$266.00 option income + $57.50 dividend income - $126.00 capital appreciation)

1. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If option exercised early on August 13th): +1.6%
= +$140.00/$8,860.67
Annualized Return-on-Investment: +72.1%
= (+$140.00/$8,860.67) * (365/8 days); or
2. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If Expand Energy shares assigned at the $90.00 strike price and at the August 21st, 2026 options expiration date): +2.2%
= +$197.50/$8,860.67
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If shares assigned at the 8/21/2026 options expiration date): +50.8%
= (+$197.50/$8,860.67) * (365/16 days)