NVIDIA reported their Q4 earnings after the market close twelve days ago. They substantially beat analysts' estimates on all relevant metrics including both earnings and revenue (which at $68.1 billion was 72.4% above the comparable quarter last year). In addition, their next quarter guidance at $78 billion is 76.9% above last year's result. NVIDIA's stock has reacted negatively since then, but I agree with the numerous sell-side equity research firms that raised their NVIDIA post-earnings target prices. The average target price of Wall Street analysts is now $261.97 (+45.9% above today's purchase price).
As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result if NVIDIA's share price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $170.00 strike price) and therefore assigned on its March 20th, 2026 options expiration date is +1.9% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +64.5% annualized return-on-investment for the next 11 days).
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) -- New Covered Calls Position
Today's buy/write net limit order transaction was as follows:
3/9/2026 Bought 200 NVIDIA Corporation shares at $179.56.
3/9/2026 Bought 200 NVIDIA Corporation shares at $179.56.
3/9/2026 Sold 2 NVIDIA 3/20/2026 $170.00 Call options @ $12.80 per share. The Implied Volatility of these Calls was 56.3 when this position was established, which is well above (as preferred) the VIX which was 27.6.
3/11/2026 Ex-dividend of $.01 per share. This miniscule dividend amount for the #1 largest market cap company is ludicrous. š¤£
3/11/2026 Ex-dividend of $.01 per share. This miniscule dividend amount for the #1 largest market cap company is ludicrous. š¤£
A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this NVIDIA Corporation Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $33,353.34
= ($179.56 - $12.80) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission
Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$2,558.66
= ($12.80 * 200 shares) - $1.34 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$2.00 = $.01 per share x 200 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 200 NVIDIA shares assigned (i.e. above the $170.00 strike price) on the 3/20/2026 options expiration date): -$1,912.00
+($170.00 strike price - $179.56 stock purchase price) * 200 shares
Total Net Profit Potential (If 200 NVIDIA shares assigned at the $170.00 strike price on the 3/20/2026 options expiration date): +$648.66
= (+$2,558.66 options income + $2.00 dividend income - $1,912.00 capital appreciation)
Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment (If 200 NVIDIA shares assigned (i.e. sold) at the $170.00 strike price on the 3/20/2026 options expiration date): +1.9%
= (+$648.66/$33,353.34)
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment (If 200 NVIDIA shares assigned at the $170.00 strike price on the 3/20/2026 options expiration date): +64.5%
= (+$648.66/$33,353.34) * (365/11 days)
= (+$648.66/$33,353.34) * (365/11 days)
