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Monday, February 5, 2024

Established Covered Calls in TJX Companies Inc.

Today, a buy/write limit order was entered in TJX Companies Inc. (ticker TJX) to buy 200 shares and simultaneously sell 2 Call options at the February 16th, 2024 monthly options expiration date and at the $94.00 strike price. The net debit limit price for my order was $93.32 and this order was executed at 10:18am when 200 shares were purchased at $95.27 and 2 February 16th, 2024 Call options were sold for $1.95 per share -- Note: the Dow Jones average was down about 390 points at that time.  Therefore, a maximum potential time value profit of $.68 per share = [$1.95 options premium - ($95.27 stock price - $94.00 strike price)] is available for this position.  

This position uses the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy since TJX has an upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.3325 per share on February 14th which is prior to the February 16th options expiration date.  This is equivalent to an absolute annual dividend yield of 1.4% and an equivalent annualized dividend yield of 11.6% = [($.3325/$95.27) x (365/11 days to expiration)].  This dividend is included in the detailed return-on-investment calculations below.  Either an early assignment  on the last trading day prior to the ex-dividend date or on the February 16th options expiration date would be desirable to the Covered Calls Advisor given the potential annualized return on investments for either outcome.  Importantly to the Covered Calls Advisor, there is no quarterly earnings report prior to the options expiration date since the next earnings report on February 28th, 2024 is after the 2/16/2024 options expiration date.

As shown on the table at the bottom of this post, eight of the nine criteria of the Dividend Capture Strategy are met with this position.  Even if the TJX stock price declines somewhat during the next 11 days until the options expiration date, if the stock closes above the $94.00 strike price, then a very satisfactory annualized-return-on-investment of +35.8% will be achieved.  The Delta for these Call options was approximately 65.8 when this position was established which approximates the probability of 65.8% that the position will be in-the-money at market close on the options expiration date.  Analysts' average target price is $104.10 (+9.3% above today's stock purchase price).  

As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are: 

  •  +0.7% absolute return (equivalent to +29.3% annualized return-on-investment for the next 9 days) if the stock is assigned early (on the last business day prior to the February 14th ex-dividend date); or  
  • +1.1% absolute return (equivalent to +35.8% annualized return-on-investment over the next 11 days) if the stock is assigned on the February 16th, 2024 options expiration date.

TJX Companies Inc. (LVS) -- New Covered Calls Position
The buy/write transaction was:
2/5/2024 Bought 200 TJX Companies Inc. shares @ $95.27.
2/5/2024 Sold 2 TJX 2/16/2024 $94.00 Call options @ $1.95 per share.
Note: Implied Volatility (IV) of the Call options was at 17.7 when this position was transacted which, as preferred, is above the current VIX of 13.8.   
2/14/2024 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.3325 per share.

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this TJX Companies Inc. Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $18,665.34
= ($95.27 - $1.95) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$388.66
= ($1.95 * 200 shares) - $1.34 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If TJX Call options exercised early on February 13th, 2024, the last business day prior to the Feb. 14th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If TJX stock assigned at the February 16th, 2024 options expiration): +$66.50
= ($.3325 dividend per share x 200 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If TJX's Call options assigned early on Feb. 13th): -$254.00
+($94.00 - $95.27) * 200 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at $94.00 strike price at the 2/14 options expiration): -$254.00
+($94.00 - $95.27) * 200 shares

1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised early (business day prior to the Feb. 14th ex-dividend date)]: +$134.66
= (+$388.66 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$254.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If TJX's shares assigned at $94.00 at the February 16th, 2024 expiration): +$201.16
= (+$388.66 +$66.50 -$254.00)

1. Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment [If option exercised on business day prior to ex-dividend date]: +0.7%
= +$134.66/$18,665.34
Potential Annualized Return (If option exercised early): +29.3%
= (+$134.66/$18,665.34) * (365/9 days); or
2. Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment (If TJX's shares assigned on February 16th options expiration date): +1.1%
= +$201.16/$18,665.34
Potential Annualized Return (If TJX's shares assigned at $94.00 at the Feb. 16th, 2024 expiration): +35.8%
= (+$201.16/$18,665.34) * (365/11 days)


At least eight of the nine metrics used in the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy spreadsheet (see below) must be 'YES' prior to establishing a new Covered Calls position using the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture strategy.  As shown below, eight criteria are achieved for this TJX Covered Calls position.