D.R. Horton is the largest homebuilder in America by market cap. Importantly, it is considered the best-in-class operator in its industry and has the highest exposure to the critically important entry-level buyers (67% of closings), lowest debt leverage, and least on-balance sheet land risk. The very recent Q4 2022 earnings report on January 24th, 2023 showed positive (+2.8%) sales but negative (-12.9%) earnings per share compared with the same prior year quarter. Nevertheless, the current Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) P/E Ratio valuation of 6.0 is very attractive.
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are: (1) +0.8% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to a +57.0% annualized return-on-investment in 5 days if the Calls are exercised and the stock is therefore assigned on the last business day prior to the February 6th ex-dividend date; and (2) +1.1% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to a +38.4% annualized return-on-investment in 10 days if the DHI stock is in-the-money and the stock assigned on its February 10th, 2023 options expiration date.
D.R. Horton Company (DHI) -- New Covered Calls Position
The Buy/Write transaction was as follows:
2/1/2023 Bought 200 shares of D.R. Horton Co. stock @ $96.84 per share
2/1/2023 Sold 2 D.R. Horton February 10th, 2023 $93.00 Call options @ $4.56 per share
2/6/2023 Upcoming ex-dividend of $.25 per share
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Position Net Investment: $18,457.34
= ($96.84 - $4.56) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$912.00
= ($4.56 * 200 shares)
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on Friday, Feb. 3rd, the last business day prior to the February 6th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If DHI stock assigned at the Feb. 10th, 2023 expiration): $50.00
= ($.25 dividend per share x 200 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If D.R. Horton Call options assigned early on Feb. 3rd): -$768.00
+($93.00 strike price - $96.84 stock price) * 200 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at $93.00 strike price at the Feb.10th options expiration): -$768.00
+($93.00 - $96.84) * 200 shares
At least eight of the nine metrics used in the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy spreadsheet must be 'YES' prior to establishing a position. As shown below with this D.R. Horton Co. position, eight of the nine criteria were met.