As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:
- +1.0% absolute return (equivalent to +73.5% annualized return for the next 5 days) if the stock is assigned early (business day prior to the October 18th, 2022 ex-dividend date); OR
- +1.6% absolute return (equivalent to +36.4% annualized return over the next 16 days) if the stock is assigned on the October 28th, 2022 options expiration date.
Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) -- New Covered Calls Position
In the relatively unlikely event that the stock price increases to the point where the current time value (i.e. extrinsic value) of $1.80 remaining in the short Call options decays substantially (down to about $.15 or less) by October 17th, 2022 (the last business day prior to the ex-dividend date), there is a possibility that the Call options owner would exercise early and therefore call the 200 Lowe's shares away to capture the dividend payment. As detailed in the Dividend Capture spreadsheet below, early assignment would be a very desirable outcome since its +73.5% annualized return-on-investment (aroi) exceeds the +36.4% aroi that would be achieved if the assignment was instead at the October 28th options expiration date.
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was:
10/13/2022 Bought 200 Lowe's shares @ $190.48
10/13/2022 Sold 2 Lowe's Oct. 28th, 2022 $180.00 Call options @ $12.28 per share
10/18/2022 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend at $1.05 per share
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this Lowe's Companies Covered Calls position are as follows:
Stock Purchase Cost Basis: $35,641.34
= ($190.48 - $12.28) *200 shares + $1.34 commission
Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$2,454.66
= ($12.28 *200 shares) - $1.34 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on October 17th, the business day prior to the October 18 ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Lowe's shares assigned at the Oct. 28th, 2022 expiration): +$210.00
= ($1.05 dividend per share x 200 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Lowe's stock assigned early): -$2,096.00
+($180.00 -$190.48) * 200 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Lowe's assigned at $180.00 strike price at expiration): -$2,096.00
+($180.00-$190.48) * 200 shares
+($180.00 -$190.48) * 200 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Lowe's assigned at $180.00 strike price at expiration): -$2,096.00
+($180.00-$190.48) * 200 shares
1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised on the last business day prior to the Oct. 18th ex-dividend date)]: +$358.66
= (+$2,454.66 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$2,096.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If Lowe's assigned at $180.00 at October 28th, 2022 expiration): +$568.66
= (+$2,454.66 options income +$210.00 dividend income -$2,096.00 capital appreciation)
1. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If option exercised on business day prior to ex-dividend date): +1.0%
= +$358.66/$35,641.34
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If option exercised early): +73.5%
= (+$358.66/$35,641.34) * (365/5 days); or
2. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If Lowe's assigned at $180.00 at October 28th expiration date): +1.6%
= +$568.66/$35,641.34
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If Lowe's shares assigned at $180.00 at Oct 28th, 2022 options expiration): +36.4%
= (+$568.66/$35,641.34) *(365/16 days)
At least eight of the nine metrics used in the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy spreadsheet (see below) must be 'YES' prior to establishing a new Covered Calls position using the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture strategy. As shown below, all nine criteria are achieved in this Lowe's Companies Inc. position.