Given the Covered Calls Advisor's current Overall Market Meter indicator of Slightly Bearish, an in-the-money Covered Calls position was established with a Delta of approximately 69.5 and an Implied Volatility of the Calls was approximately 41 when the buy/write limit order was executed.
American Eagle reported their Q3 2021 earnings before market open yesterday and the beat analysts estimates for both revenue and earnings. Their revenue was up in excess of 20% versus the same quarter last year in both their American Eagle brand and their Aerie brand and their earnings increase more than doubled. They have made some proactive acquisitions this year to accelerate their delivery times to their stores and their customers with their recent all-cash purchase of Quiet Logistics and or AirTerra earlier this year. AEO's valuation is relatively attractive with its current fiscal year P/E ratio at 12.1 and an expected single digit increase in earnings next year.
As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result is +2.7% absolute return (equivalent to +64.7% annualized
return for the next 15 days) if the stock is assigned early on December 8th (the last business day
prior to the December 9th ex-date); OR +3.4%
absolute return (equivalent to +51.2% annualized return over the next 24
days) if the stock is assigned on the December 17th, 2021 options expiration date.
The transaction today was as follows:
11/24/2021 Bought 500 American Eagle Outfitters Inc. shares @ $27.43
11/24/2021 Sold 5 AEO 12/17/2021 $26.00 Call options @ $2.11
12/09/2021 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.18 per share
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $12,663.35
= ($27.43 - $2.11) * 500 shares + $3.35 commissions
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,051.65
= ($2.11 * 500 shares) - $3.35 commissions
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on the business day prior to the Dec. 9th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If AEO shares assigned at Dec. 17th, 2021 options expiration): +$90.00
= ($.18 dividend per share x 500 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If American Eagle shares assigned early on Dec. 8th): -$715.00
+($26.00 - $27.43) * 500 shares ;or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If AEO shares assigned at $26.00 strike price at options expiration): -$715.00
+($26.00 - $27.43) * 500 shares
These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $26.00 strike price at assignment. If the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $25.14 ($27.43 -$.18 -$2.11) provides 8.3% downside protection below today's purchase price.
The Covered Calls Advisor has established a set of nine criteria to evaluate potential Covered Calls using a Dividend Capture Strategy. The minimum threshold desired to establish a position is that at least eight of these nine criteria must be achieved. As shown in the table below, eight of the nine criteria are met for this American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Covered Calls position.