According to Reuters Research, the average current target price is $68.01 (+73.2% above today's purchase price) for the forty analysts now covering Uber. Their estimated 2021 revenue is +38.2% above the prior year and next year's estimates are +47.1% above this year's.
As detailed below, a potential outcome for this Uber Technologies investment is +2.8% absolute return-on-investment for the next 19 days (equivalent to +54.4% on an annualized return basis) if the stock closes above the $37.50 strike price on the December 17th options expiration date.
Uber Technologies Inc. (UBER) -- New Covered Calls Position
The net debit buy/write limit order was executed as follows:
11/29/2021 Bought 500 shares of Uber Technologies Inc. stock @ $39.26 per share
11/29/2021 Sold 5 Uber Dec. 17th, 2021 $37.50 Call options @ $2.80 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction
A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $18,233.35
= ($39.26 - $2.80) * 500 shares + $3.35 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,396.65
= ($2.80 * 500 shares) - $3.35 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Uber stock is above the $37.50 strike price at the Dec. 17th expiration): -$880.00
= ($37.50 -$39.26) * 500 shares
Potential Total Net Profit (If assigned at expiration): +$516.65
= (+$1,396.65 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$880.00 capital appreciation)
Absolute Return: +2.8%
= +$516.65/$18,233.35
Equivalent Annualized Return: +54.4%
= (+$516.65/$18,233.35)*(365/19 days)
The
downside 'breakeven price' at expiration is at $36.46 ($39.26 - $2.80),
which is 7.1% below the current market price of $39.26. This is good protection given the high +54.4% potential annualized ROI for this investment.