Two potential return-on-investment results for this position are highlighted below and includes the possibility of early assignment since a quarterly $.90 per share ex-dividend on July 2nd is prior to the July 16th options expiration date. An additional consideration in this position is that the next quarterly earnings report is on July 13th which is prior to the July 16th options expiration date. Prior to the earnings report, the Covered Calls Advisor will be monitoring this position closely every day since closing out the position after the ex-dividend date but prior to the earnings date is a possibility.
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:
- +1.0% absolute return (equivalent to +25.8% annualized return for the next 14 days) if the stock is assigned early (business day prior to the July 2nd ex-dividend date); OR
- +1.6% absolute return (equivalent to +20.6% annualized return over the next 29 days) if the stock is assigned on the July 16th options expiration date.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) -- New Covered Calls Position
If the stock price increases to the point where the current time value (i.e. extrinsic value) of $1.38 = [$9.15 option premium - ($147.77 stock price - $140.00 strike price)] remaining in the short Call options decays substantially (down to about $.25 or less) by July 1st (the business day prior to the ex-dividend date), there is a possibility that the Call options owner would exercise early and therefore call the 300 JPM shares away to capture the dividend payment. As detailed in the Dividend Capture spreadsheet below, early assignment would be a desirable outcome since its +25.8% annualized return-on-investment (aroi) exceeds the +20.6% aroi if assigned on the 07/16/2021 options expiration date.
The buy/write transaction was:
06/18/2021 Bought 300 JPM shares @ $147.77
06/18/2021 Sold 3 JPM 07/16/2021 $140.00 Call options @ $9.15
07/02/2021 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.90 per share
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this JPM Covered Calls position are as follows:
Stock Purchase Cost: $41,588.01
= ($147.77 - $9.15) *300 shares + $2.01 commission
Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$2,742.99
= ($9.15 *300 shares) - $2.01 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on July 1st, the business day prior to the July 2nd ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If JPM assigned at July 16th, 2021 expiration): +$270.00
= ($.90 dividend per share x 300 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If JPM assigned early): -$2,331.00
+($140.00 -$147.77) * 300 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If JPM assigned at $140.00 strike price at expiration): -$2,331.00
+($140.00-$147.77) * 300 shares
+($140.00 -$147.77) * 300 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If JPM assigned at $140.00 strike price at expiration): -$2,331.00
+($140.00-$147.77) * 300 shares
1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised on July 1st (business day prior to July 2nd ex-dividend date)]: +$411.99
= (+$2,742.99 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$2,331.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If JPM assigned at $140.00 at July 16th, 2021 expiration): +$681.99
= (+$2,742.99 options income +$270.00 dividend income -$2,331.00 capital appreciation)
1. Absolute Return (If option exercised on business day prior to ex-dividend date): +1.0%
= +$411.99/$41,588.01
Annualized Return (If option exercised early): +25.8%
= (+$411.99/$41,588.01)*(365/14 days); or
2. Absolute Return (If JPM assigned at $140.00 at July 16th, 2021 expiration date): +1.6%
= +$681.99/$41,588.01
Annualized Return (If JPM assigned at $140.00 at July 16th 2021 options expiration): +20.6%
= (+$681.99/$41,588.01)*(365/29 days)
Either outcome provides a very good return-on-investment result for this investment. These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $140.00 strike price at assignment. If the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $137.72 ($147.77 -$9.15 -$.90) provides 6.8% downside protection below today's purchase price.
There is a 72.8% probability that the Calls will be above the $140.00 strike price at options expiration. If so, the +20.6% annualized roi profit detailed above would be achieved.
At least eight of the nine metrics used in the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy spreadsheet (see below) must be 'YES' prior to establishing a new Covered Calls position using the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture strategy. Eight of the nine criteria are achieved in this JPMorgan position.