Today, a new Covered Calls position was established in Blackstone Group L.P. (ticker BX) for the August 17th, 2018 options expiration and at the $36.00 strike price when the stock was at $35.91. Based on the Covered Calls Advisor's current Slightly Bearish sentiment, the closest at-the-money position was established.
As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment is +3.0% absolute
return in 24 days (equivalent to a +45.9% annualized
return-on-investment) if Blackstone stock closes above the $36.00 strike price on the Aug 17th options expiration date.
Blackstone Group L.P. (BX) -- New Covered Calls Position
The implied volatility of the Call options was 25.2 when this position
was established. There is an ex-dividend this Friday (7/27) of $.58 which is included in the return-on-investment calculations below.
The transactions were as follows:
07/25/2018 Bought 500 shares of Blackstone Group stock @ $35.91 per share
07/25/2018 Sold 5 BX August 17th, 2018 $36.00 Call options @ $.41 per share
07/27/2018 BX has $.58 per share ex-dividend
A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $17,758.30
= ($35.91 - $.41)* 500 shares + $8.30 commissions
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$205.00
= ($.41* 500 shares)
(b) Dividend Income: +$290.00
= $.58 ex-div per share x 500 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BX stock is above $36.00 strike price at Aug 17th expiration): +$40.05
= ($36.00 -$35.91)* 500 shares - $4.95 commission
Total Net Profit: +$535.05
= (+$205.00 options income +$290.00 dividend income +$40.05 capital appreciation)
Absolute Return: +3.0%
= +$535.05/$17,758.30
Equivalent Annualized Return: +45.8%
= (+$535.95/$17,758.30)*(365/24 days)
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Wednesday, July 25, 2018
Tuesday, July 24, 2018
Continuation Covered Calls Position in Deere & Co.
At the July 20th, 2018 options expiration, the two 100% Cash-Secured Put Options sold in Deere & Co. (ticker DE) expired with the stock price below the strike price. So, the two Put options expired
and 200 shares of John Deere stock was purchased at the $138.00 strike price. Today, the Covered Calls Advisor continued this position and established a Covered Calls position by selling 2 Aug 17th, 2018 $140.00 Call options against the current long 200 shares held in Deere.
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:
+3.8% absolute
return in 43 days (equivalent to a +32.5% annualized
return-on-investment) if the price of Deere & Co. stock is unchanged at $137.32 at the August 17th options expiration; OR
+5.8% absolute
return in 43 days (equivalent to a +49.0% annualized
return-on-investment) if the price of John Deere stock increases above the $140.00 strike price on the Aug 17th expiration date
Deere & Co. (DE) -- Continuation Covered Calls Position
The transaction were as follows:
07/05/2018 Sold 2 DE July 20, 2018 $138.00 100% cash-secured Put options @ $2.68
07/20/2018 Two July 20th Put options expired with stock price below the strike price, so 200 shares of Deere stock were purchased at $138.00
07/24/2018 Sold 2 Aug 17, 2018 $140.00 Call options @ $3.35
Note: the price of Deere stock was $137.32 when these Calls were sold.
Two possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
100% Cash-Secured Cost Basis: $27,600.00
= $138.00*200 shares
Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$1,193.42
= ($2.68 +$3.35) *200 shares - 2*$6.29 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Deere stock is unchanged at $137.32 at Aug 17,2018 expiration): -$136.00
= ($137.32-$138.00)*200 shares; OR
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Deere stock is above $140.00 strike price at August 17th,2018 expiration): +$400.00
= ($140.00-$138.00)*200 shares
1. Total Net Profit (If Deere stock price is unchanged at $137.32 at Aug 17th options expiration): +$1,057.42
= (+$1,193.42 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$136.00 capital appreciation); OR
2. Total Net Profit (If Deere stock price is above $140.00 strike price at Aug 17th options expiration): +$1,593.42
= (+$1,193.42 options income +$0.00 dividend income +$400.00 capital appreciation)
1. Absolute Return (If Deere stock is unchanged at $137.32 at Aug 17th options expiration): +3.8%
= +$1,057.42/$27,600.00
Annualized Return: +32.5%
= (+$1,057.42/$27,600.00)*(365/43 days); OR
2. Absolute Return (If Deere stock is above $140.00 strike price at Aug 17th, 2018 options expiration): +5.8%
= +$1,593.42/$27,600.00
Annualized Return: +49.0%
= (+$1,593.42/$27,600.00)*(365/43 days)
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:
Deere & Co. (DE) -- Continuation Covered Calls Position
The transaction were as follows:
07/05/2018 Sold 2 DE July 20, 2018 $138.00 100% cash-secured Put options @ $2.68
07/20/2018 Two July 20th Put options expired with stock price below the strike price, so 200 shares of Deere stock were purchased at $138.00
07/24/2018 Sold 2 Aug 17, 2018 $140.00 Call options @ $3.35
Note: the price of Deere stock was $137.32 when these Calls were sold.
Two possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
100% Cash-Secured Cost Basis: $27,600.00
= $138.00*200 shares
Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$1,193.42
= ($2.68 +$3.35) *200 shares - 2*$6.29 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Deere stock is unchanged at $137.32 at Aug 17,2018 expiration): -$136.00
= ($137.32-$138.00)*200 shares; OR
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Deere stock is above $140.00 strike price at August 17th,2018 expiration): +$400.00
= ($140.00-$138.00)*200 shares
1. Total Net Profit (If Deere stock price is unchanged at $137.32 at Aug 17th options expiration): +$1,057.42
= (+$1,193.42 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$136.00 capital appreciation); OR
2. Total Net Profit (If Deere stock price is above $140.00 strike price at Aug 17th options expiration): +$1,593.42
= (+$1,193.42 options income +$0.00 dividend income +$400.00 capital appreciation)
1. Absolute Return (If Deere stock is unchanged at $137.32 at Aug 17th options expiration): +3.8%
= +$1,057.42/$27,600.00
Annualized Return: +32.5%
= (+$1,057.42/$27,600.00)*(365/43 days); OR
2. Absolute Return (If Deere stock is above $140.00 strike price at Aug 17th, 2018 options expiration): +5.8%
= +$1,593.42/$27,600.00
Annualized Return: +49.0%
= (+$1,593.42/$27,600.00)*(365/43 days)
Labels:
Transactions -- Adjustment
Continuation of Covered Calls Position in U.S. Steel Corp.
At the July 20th, 2018 options expiration, the Covered Calls position in United States Steel Corp. (ticker X) expired with the stock price below the strike price. So, the Call options expired
and the stock shares were retained in the Covered Calls Advisor's
Portfolio. Today, the Covered Calls Advisor continued this Covered Calls positions by selling 4 Aug 17th, 2018 $39.00 Call options against the current long 400 shares held in U.S. Steel.
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:
+15.8% absolute
return in 197 days (equivalent to a +29.3% annualized
return-on-investment) if the price of U.S. Steel stock is unchanged upon the July 20th options expiration; OR
+18.1% absolute
return in 197 days (equivalent to a +33.6% annualized
return-on-investment) if the price of U.S. Steel increases above the $39.00 strike price on the expiration date
United States Steel Corp. (X) -- Continuation of Covered Calls Position
The transactions were:
02/01/2018 Bought 400 shares of U.S. Steel stock @ $36.72 per share
02/01/2018 Sold 4 U.S. Steel Mar 16th, 2018 $36.00 Call options @ $2.62 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction
02/08/2018 $20.00 = ($.05 per share ex-dividend x 400 shares)
03/13/2018 Bought-to-Close 4 Mar 16th $36.00 Call options @ $5.99
03/13/2018 Sold-to-Open 4 Apr 20th $40.00 Call options @ $3.57
Note: this Calls debit spread transaction occurred when the stock was at $41.88
04/20/2018 4 U.S. Steel April 20th Call options expired
05/09/2018 $20.00 = ($.05 per share ex-dividend x 400 shares)
05/10/2018 Sold 4 U.S. Steel June 15th, 2018 $40.00 Call options @ $.66 per share
Note: the price of U.S. Steel stock was $36.04 when these Calls were sold
06/15/2018 4 X Call options expired with stock price below strike price
06/22/2018 Sold 4 U.S. Steel July 20, 2018 $37.50 Call options @ $1.35 to continue U.S. Steel Covered Calls position
Note: the price of U.S. Steel stock was $36.79 when these Calls were sold
07/20/2018 4 U.S. Steel July 20, 2018 $37.50 Call options expired with stock price of $37.13 below the $37.50 strike price
07/24/2018 Sold 4 U.S. Steel Aug 17th, 2018 $39.00 Call options @ $1.64
Note: the price of U.S. Steel stock was $38.21 when these Calls were sold
08/09/2018 Expected Ex-Dividend of $20.00 ($.05 per share x 400 shares)
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $13,647.63
= ($36.72 - $2.62)* 400 shares + $7.63 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,509.48
= ($2.62 - $5.99 + $3.57 + $.66 + $1.35 +$1.64) * 400 shares - $30.52 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$60.00
= $.05 per share * 3 ex-dividends * 400 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If price of X stock is unchanged at $38.21 at Aug 17th expiration): +$591.05
= ($38.21 -$36.72)* 400 shares - $4.95 commission; OR
(c) Capital Appreciation (If X is above $39.00 strike price at Aug 17th expiration):
+$907.05
= ($39.00 -$36.72)* 400 shares - $4.95 commission
1. Potential Total Net Profit (If stock price unchanged at expiration): +$2,160.53
= (+$1,509.48 options income +$60.00 dividend income +$591.05 capital appreciation); OR
2. Potential Total Net Profit (If assigned at expiration): +$2,476.53
= (+$1,509.48 options income +$60.00 dividend income +$907.05 capital appreciation)
Each of these outcomes demonstrate the 'trifecta' possibilities with Covered Calls investing (i.e. options income plus dividend income plus capital appreciation of the stock).
1. Absolute Return (If stock price unchanged at $38.21 at options expiration): +15.8%
= +$2,160.53/$13,647.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +29.3%
= (+$2,160.53/$13,647.63)*(365/197 days); OR
2. Absolute Return (If assigned at expiration): +18.1%
= +$2,476.53/$13,647.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +33.6%
= (+$2,476.53/$13,647.63)*(365/197 days)
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:
United States Steel Corp. (X) -- Continuation of Covered Calls Position
The transactions were:
02/01/2018 Bought 400 shares of U.S. Steel stock @ $36.72 per share
02/01/2018 Sold 4 U.S. Steel Mar 16th, 2018 $36.00 Call options @ $2.62 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction
02/08/2018 $20.00 = ($.05 per share ex-dividend x 400 shares)
03/13/2018 Bought-to-Close 4 Mar 16th $36.00 Call options @ $5.99
03/13/2018 Sold-to-Open 4 Apr 20th $40.00 Call options @ $3.57
Note: this Calls debit spread transaction occurred when the stock was at $41.88
04/20/2018 4 U.S. Steel April 20th Call options expired
05/09/2018 $20.00 = ($.05 per share ex-dividend x 400 shares)
05/10/2018 Sold 4 U.S. Steel June 15th, 2018 $40.00 Call options @ $.66 per share
Note: the price of U.S. Steel stock was $36.04 when these Calls were sold
06/15/2018 4 X Call options expired with stock price below strike price
06/22/2018 Sold 4 U.S. Steel July 20, 2018 $37.50 Call options @ $1.35 to continue U.S. Steel Covered Calls position
Note: the price of U.S. Steel stock was $36.79 when these Calls were sold
07/20/2018 4 U.S. Steel July 20, 2018 $37.50 Call options expired with stock price of $37.13 below the $37.50 strike price
07/24/2018 Sold 4 U.S. Steel Aug 17th, 2018 $39.00 Call options @ $1.64
Note: the price of U.S. Steel stock was $38.21 when these Calls were sold
08/09/2018 Expected Ex-Dividend of $20.00 ($.05 per share x 400 shares)
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $13,647.63
= ($36.72 - $2.62)* 400 shares + $7.63 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,509.48
= ($2.62 - $5.99 + $3.57 + $.66 + $1.35 +$1.64) * 400 shares - $30.52 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$60.00
= $.05 per share * 3 ex-dividends * 400 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If price of X stock is unchanged at $38.21 at Aug 17th expiration): +$591.05
= ($38.21 -$36.72)* 400 shares - $4.95 commission; OR
(c) Capital Appreciation (If X is above $39.00 strike price at Aug 17th expiration):
+$907.05
= ($39.00 -$36.72)* 400 shares - $4.95 commission
1. Potential Total Net Profit (If stock price unchanged at expiration): +$2,160.53
= (+$1,509.48 options income +$60.00 dividend income +$591.05 capital appreciation); OR
2. Potential Total Net Profit (If assigned at expiration): +$2,476.53
= (+$1,509.48 options income +$60.00 dividend income +$907.05 capital appreciation)
Each of these outcomes demonstrate the 'trifecta' possibilities with Covered Calls investing (i.e. options income plus dividend income plus capital appreciation of the stock).
1. Absolute Return (If stock price unchanged at $38.21 at options expiration): +15.8%
= +$2,160.53/$13,647.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +29.3%
= (+$2,160.53/$13,647.63)*(365/197 days); OR
2. Absolute Return (If assigned at expiration): +18.1%
= +$2,476.53/$13,647.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +33.6%
= (+$2,476.53/$13,647.63)*(365/197 days)
Labels:
Transactions -- Adjustment
Monday, July 23, 2018
Established Covered Calls in Skyworks Solutions Inc.
Today, a Covered Calls position was established in Skyworks Solutions Inc. (ticker symbol SWKS) with a August 17th, 2018 expiration and at the $92.50 strike price. This position has an upcoming quarterly ex-dividend on August 6th of $.38 per share, so the potential return for this position, as detailed below, includes the possibility of early exercise because the ex-dividend is prior to the Aug 17th, 2018 options expiration date. Quarterly earnings were reported recently, so the next earnings report will not be until early November. Given the Covered Calls Advisor's current Overall Market Meter indicator of Slightly Bearish, a slightly in-the-money Covered Calls position was established.
As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result is +1.6% absolute return (equivalent to +42.1% annualized return for the next 14 days) if the stock is assigned early (business day prior to Aug 6th ex-date); OR +2.0% absolute return (equivalent to +28.5% annualized return over the next 26 days) if the stock is assigned on the August 17th options expiration date.
Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS) -- New Covered Calls Position
Although unlikely, if the current time value (i.e. extrinsic value) of $1.50 [$4.37 option premium - ($95.37 stock price - $92.50 strike price)] remaining in the two short Call options decays substantially (down to about $.10 or less) by Aug 5th (the business day prior to the ex-dividend date), there is a possibility that the Call options owner would exercise early and therefore call the 200 Skyworks Solutions shares away to capture the dividend payment.
The transactions were:
07/23/2018 Bought 200 Skyworks Solutions shares @ $95.37
07/23/2018 Sold 2 SWKS 08/17/2018 $92.50 Call options @ $4.37
Note: a simultaneous buy/write transaction was executed.
08/06/2018 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.38 per share
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this Skyworks Solutions Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $18,204.95
= ($95.37 - $4.37) *200 + $4.95 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$872.66
= ($4.37*200 shares) - $1.34 commissions
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on Aug 5th, the business day prior to Aug 6th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Skyworks Solutions assigned at Aug 17th, 2018 expiration): +$76.00
= ($.38 dividend per share x 200 shares)
Either outcome provides a good return-on-investment result for this investment. These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $92.50 strike price at assignment. If the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $90.62 ($95.37 -$4.37 -$.38) provides 5.0% downside protection below today's purchase price.
The Covered Calls Advisor has established a set of eleven criteria to evaluate potential Covered Dalls using a dividend capture strategy. The minimum threshold desired to establish a position is that at least nine of these eleven criteria must be achieved. As shown in the table below, all of the eleven criteria are achieved for this Skyworks Solutions Covered Calls position.
As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result is +1.6% absolute return (equivalent to +42.1% annualized return for the next 14 days) if the stock is assigned early (business day prior to Aug 6th ex-date); OR +2.0% absolute return (equivalent to +28.5% annualized return over the next 26 days) if the stock is assigned on the August 17th options expiration date.
Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS) -- New Covered Calls Position
Although unlikely, if the current time value (i.e. extrinsic value) of $1.50 [$4.37 option premium - ($95.37 stock price - $92.50 strike price)] remaining in the two short Call options decays substantially (down to about $.10 or less) by Aug 5th (the business day prior to the ex-dividend date), there is a possibility that the Call options owner would exercise early and therefore call the 200 Skyworks Solutions shares away to capture the dividend payment.
The transactions were:
07/23/2018 Bought 200 Skyworks Solutions shares @ $95.37
07/23/2018 Sold 2 SWKS 08/17/2018 $92.50 Call options @ $4.37
Note: a simultaneous buy/write transaction was executed.
08/06/2018 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.38 per share
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this Skyworks Solutions Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $18,204.95
= ($95.37 - $4.37) *200 + $4.95 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$872.66
= ($4.37*200 shares) - $1.34 commissions
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on Aug 5th, the business day prior to Aug 6th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Skyworks Solutions assigned at Aug 17th, 2018 expiration): +$76.00
= ($.38 dividend per share x 200 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If SWKS assigned early on Aug 5th): -$578.95
+($92.50-$95.37)*200 shares - $4.95 commissions; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If SWKS assigned at $92.50 strike price at options expiration): -$578.95
+($92.50-$95.37)*200 shares - $4.95 commissions
+($92.50-$95.37)*200 shares - $4.95 commissions; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If SWKS assigned at $92.50 strike price at options expiration): -$578.95
+($92.50-$95.37)*200 shares - $4.95 commissions
1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised on Aug 5th (business day prior to February 6th ex-dividend date)]: +$293.71
= (+$872.66 +$0.00 -$578.95); or
2. Total Net Profit (If Skyworks Solutions shares assigned at $92.50 at Aug 17, 2018 expiration): +$369.71
= (+$872.66 +$76.00 -$578.95)
1. Absolute Return [If option exercised on Aug 5th (business day prior to ex-dividend date)]: +1.6%
= +$293.71/$18,204.95
Annualized Return (If option exercised early): +42.1%
= (+$293.71/$18,204.95)*(365/14 days); or
2. Absolute Return (If Skyworks Solutions shares assigned at $92.50 at Aug 17, 2018 expiration): +2.0%
= +$369.71/$18,204.95
Annualized Return (If SWKS assigned at $92.50 at Aug 17, 2018 expiration): +28.5%
= (+$236.37/$18,880.95)*(365/26 days)
Either outcome provides a good return-on-investment result for this investment. These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $92.50 strike price at assignment. If the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $90.62 ($95.37 -$4.37 -$.38) provides 5.0% downside protection below today's purchase price.
The Covered Calls Advisor has established a set of eleven criteria to evaluate potential Covered Dalls using a dividend capture strategy. The minimum threshold desired to establish a position is that at least nine of these eleven criteria must be achieved. As shown in the table below, all of the eleven criteria are achieved for this Skyworks Solutions Covered Calls position.
Labels:
Transactions -- Purchase
Saturday, July 21, 2018
July 20th, 2018 Options Expiration Results
The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio had eight positions with July 20th, 2018 options expirations:
For the six positions assigned on the July 20th expiration, the average annualized return-on-investment was +33.2%. The results for each position was:
So far in 2018, thirty-four of thirty-seven positions (91.9%) were assigned profitably. This 91.9% year-to-date result exceeds the Covered Calls Advisor's overall long-term goal of having at least two-thirds (67%) of positions closed out at a profit. None of the remaining three positions (Deere & Co., Citigroup Inc., Metlife Inc., and U.S.Steel Corp.) have yet to be closed out, but instead are currently held as open long stock positions in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.
For the thirty-four positions closed so far in 2018, the average annualized return-on-investment is +28.2%.
To demonstrate how return-on-investment results for a closed Covered Calls position are calculated, the details for one of the six assigned positions (Alibaba Group) is detailed below:
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) -- Covered Calls Position Closed
The transactions were as follows:
06/25/2018 Bought 200 shares of Alibaba stock @ $190.92 per share
06/25/2018 Sold 2 Alibaba July 20th, 2018 $180.00 Call options @ $14.06 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction
07/20/2018 2 BABA Call options closed in-the-money and stock assigned at $180.00 strike price
Note: Closing price of BABA stock was $187.25 upon 7/20/2018 options expiration.
The overall performance result (including commissions) was as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $35,378.29
= ($190.92 - $14.06)* 200 shares + $6.29 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$2,812.00
= ($14.06* 200 shares)
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (BABA stock closed above $180.00 strike price at July 20th expiration): -$2,188.95
= ($180.00 -$190.92)* 200 shares - $4.95 commission
Total Net Profit: +$623.05
= (+$2,812.00 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$2,188.95 capital appreciation)
Absolute Return: +1.8%
= +$623.05/$35,378.29
Equivalent Annualized Return: +24.7%
= (+$623.05/$35,378.29)*(365/26 days)
- Six Covered Calls positions (Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Blackstone Group, Citigroup Inc., Halliburton Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Lam Research Corp.) closed at yesterday's July 20th monthly options expiration in-the-money (stock price above the options strike price), so those shares were assigned (sold) at their respective strike prices.
- Two positions (Deere & Co. and U.S. Steel Corp.) closed with the stock price below the strike price, so the options expired and the long stock positions now remain in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio. Within the next few days, these stocks will either be sold or next month Call options will be sold against the stock to re-establish Covered Calls positions. As always, all transactions will be posted on this blog on the same day they occur.
For the six positions assigned on the July 20th expiration, the average annualized return-on-investment was +33.2%. The results for each position was:
- Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.: +1.8% absolute return (+24.7% annualized return) in 26 days
- Blackstone Group: +3.0% absolute return (+6.4% annualized return) in 170 days
- Citigroup Inc.: +5.5% absolute return (+22.9% annualized return) in 88 days
- Halliburton Corp.: +1.9% absolute return (+75.0% annualized return) in 9 days
- JPMorgan Chase & Co.: +1.9% absolute return (+23.7% annualized return) in 30 days
- Lam Research Corp.: +3.8% absolute return (+46.4% annualized return) in 30 days
So far in 2018, thirty-four of thirty-seven positions (91.9%) were assigned profitably. This 91.9% year-to-date result exceeds the Covered Calls Advisor's overall long-term goal of having at least two-thirds (67%) of positions closed out at a profit. None of the remaining three positions (Deere & Co., Citigroup Inc., Metlife Inc., and U.S.Steel Corp.) have yet to be closed out, but instead are currently held as open long stock positions in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.
For the thirty-four positions closed so far in 2018, the average annualized return-on-investment is +28.2%.
To demonstrate how return-on-investment results for a closed Covered Calls position are calculated, the details for one of the six assigned positions (Alibaba Group) is detailed below:
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) -- Covered Calls Position Closed
The transactions were as follows:
06/25/2018 Bought 200 shares of Alibaba stock @ $190.92 per share
06/25/2018 Sold 2 Alibaba July 20th, 2018 $180.00 Call options @ $14.06 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction
07/20/2018 2 BABA Call options closed in-the-money and stock assigned at $180.00 strike price
Note: Closing price of BABA stock was $187.25 upon 7/20/2018 options expiration.
The overall performance result (including commissions) was as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $35,378.29
= ($190.92 - $14.06)* 200 shares + $6.29 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$2,812.00
= ($14.06* 200 shares)
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (BABA stock closed above $180.00 strike price at July 20th expiration): -$2,188.95
= ($180.00 -$190.92)* 200 shares - $4.95 commission
Total Net Profit: +$623.05
= (+$2,812.00 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$2,188.95 capital appreciation)
Absolute Return: +1.8%
= +$623.05/$35,378.29
Equivalent Annualized Return: +24.7%
= (+$623.05/$35,378.29)*(365/26 days)
Friday, July 13, 2018
Established Covered Calls Position in Halliburton Co.
Yesterday, a Covered Calls position has been established in Halliburton Co. (ticker HAL) at the $45.00 strike price and for the July 20th, 2018 options expiration date. This position is slightly out-of-the-money since the 400 shares of HAL stock was purchased at $44.82 (just below the $45.00 strike price).
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:
+1.5% absolute
return in 9 days (equivalent to a +59.7% annualized
return-on-investment) if the price of HAL is unchanged upon the July 20th options expiration; OR
+1.9% absolute
return in 9 days (equivalent to a +75.0% annualized
return-on-investment) if the price of HAL increases above the $45.00 strike price on the expiration date
Halliburton Co. (HAL) -- New Covered Calls Position
The transactions were as follows:
07/12/2018 Bought 400 shares of Halliburton Co. @ $44.82
07/12/2018 Sold 4 HAL July 20th, 2018 $45.00 Call options @ $.65 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction and the Implied Volatility of these Call options was 24.0
Two possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $17,675.63
= ($44.82 - $.65)* 400 shares + $7.63 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$260.00
= ($.65* 400 shares)
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If HAL is unchanged at $44.82 purchase price at July 20th expiration): +$0.00
= ($44.82 -$44.82)* 400 shares; OR
(c) Capital Appreciation (If HAL is above $45.00 strike price at Jul 20th expiration): +$67.05
= ($45.00 -$44.82)* 400 shares - $4.95 commission
(a) Total Net Profit (If HAL price unchanged at $44.82 at expiration): +$260.00
= (+$260.00 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$0.00 capital appreciation); OR
(b) Total Net Profit (If HAL shares assigned at expiration): +$327.05
= (+$260.00 options income +$0.00 dividend income +$67.05 capital appreciation)
(a) Absolute Return (If HAL price unchanged at expiration): +1.5%
= +$260.00/$17,675.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +59.7%
= (+$260.00/$17,675.63)*(365/9 days); OR
(b) Absolute Return (If HAL shares assigned at expiration): +1.9%
= +$327.05/$17,675.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +75.0%
= (+$327.05/$17,675.63)*(365/9 days)
The downside 'breakeven price' at expiration is at $44.17 ($44.82 price per share - $.65 options income), which is 1.5% below the current market price of $44.82.
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:
Halliburton Co. (HAL) -- New Covered Calls Position
The transactions were as follows:
07/12/2018 Bought 400 shares of Halliburton Co. @ $44.82
07/12/2018 Sold 4 HAL July 20th, 2018 $45.00 Call options @ $.65 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction and the Implied Volatility of these Call options was 24.0
Two possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $17,675.63
= ($44.82 - $.65)* 400 shares + $7.63 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$260.00
= ($.65* 400 shares)
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If HAL is unchanged at $44.82 purchase price at July 20th expiration): +$0.00
= ($44.82 -$44.82)* 400 shares; OR
(c) Capital Appreciation (If HAL is above $45.00 strike price at Jul 20th expiration): +$67.05
= ($45.00 -$44.82)* 400 shares - $4.95 commission
(a) Total Net Profit (If HAL price unchanged at $44.82 at expiration): +$260.00
= (+$260.00 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$0.00 capital appreciation); OR
(b) Total Net Profit (If HAL shares assigned at expiration): +$327.05
= (+$260.00 options income +$0.00 dividend income +$67.05 capital appreciation)
(a) Absolute Return (If HAL price unchanged at expiration): +1.5%
= +$260.00/$17,675.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +59.7%
= (+$260.00/$17,675.63)*(365/9 days); OR
(b) Absolute Return (If HAL shares assigned at expiration): +1.9%
= +$327.05/$17,675.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +75.0%
= (+$327.05/$17,675.63)*(365/9 days)
The downside 'breakeven price' at expiration is at $44.17 ($44.82 price per share - $.65 options income), which is 1.5% below the current market price of $44.82.
Labels:
Transactions -- Purchase
Thursday, July 5, 2018
Established New Position in Deere & Co.
Today, a good-til-cancelled order was placed to sell two July 20th, 2018 Deere & Co. (ticker DE) Put options at the $138.00 strike price for $2.68 per share. At 10:45am, the order was executed when the stock was at $139.28.
As detailed below, there is potential for a +1.9% absolute return in 16 days (equivalent to a +43.8% annualized return-on-investment).
Deere & Co. (DE) -- New 100% Cash-Secured Puts Position
This position was established when the price of Deere & Co. stock was $139.28 (0.9% downside protection to the strike price) and 16 days remaining until the July 20th options expiration date.
With the recent increase in international trade tariff threats, agricultural stocks like John Deere have seen a swift decline in price accompanied by a substantial rise in the implied volatility of options, so the $2.68 price per share received when the Puts were sold is an attractive premium to receive for these out-of-the-money Put options.
Selling 100% Cash-Secured Puts is synthetically equivalent to Covered Calls. In this case, Puts were chosen because of their better options liquidity (and thus tighter bid/ask spread). The open interest at the $138.00 strike price for the Calls was 946 contracts but only 109 for their counterpart Call options.
The transaction was as follows:
07/05/2018 Sold 2 DE July 20, 2018 $138.00 100% cash-secured Put options @ $2.68
The Covered Calls Advisor does not use margin, so the detailed information on this position and a potential result shown below reflect the fact that this position was established using 100% cash securitization for the two Put options sold.
A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
100% Cash-Secured Cost Basis: $27,600.00
= $138.00*200 shares
Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$529.71
= ($2.68*200 shares) - $6.29 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Deere stock is above $138.00 strike price at July 20,2018 expiration): +$0.00
= ($138.00-$138.00)*200 shares
Total Net Profit (If Deere stock price is above $138.00 strike price at July 20th options expiration): +$529.71
= (+$529.71 options income +$0.00 dividend income +$0.00 capital appreciation)
Absolute Return (If Deere stock is above $138.00 strike price at July 20th, 2018 options expiration): +1.9%
= +$529.71/$27,600.00
Annualized Return: +43.8%
= (+$529.71/$27,600.00)*(365/16 days)
The downside 'breakeven price' at expiration is at $135.32 ($138.00 - $2.68), which is 2.8% below the current market price of $139.28.
Using the Black-Scholes Options Pricing Model in the Schwab Hypothetical Options Pricing Calculator, the probability of making a profit (if held until the July 20th options expiration) for this John Deere & Co. short Puts position is 57.4%. This compares with a probability of profit of 50.4% for a buy-and-hold of Deere shares over the same time period. Using this probability of profit of 57.4%, the expected value annualized return-on-investment (if held until expiration) is +25.1% (+43.8% * 57.4%), an attractive risk/reward profile for this relatively conservative investment.
As detailed below, there is potential for a +1.9% absolute return in 16 days (equivalent to a +43.8% annualized return-on-investment).
Deere & Co. (DE) -- New 100% Cash-Secured Puts Position
This position was established when the price of Deere & Co. stock was $139.28 (0.9% downside protection to the strike price) and 16 days remaining until the July 20th options expiration date.
With the recent increase in international trade tariff threats, agricultural stocks like John Deere have seen a swift decline in price accompanied by a substantial rise in the implied volatility of options, so the $2.68 price per share received when the Puts were sold is an attractive premium to receive for these out-of-the-money Put options.
Selling 100% Cash-Secured Puts is synthetically equivalent to Covered Calls. In this case, Puts were chosen because of their better options liquidity (and thus tighter bid/ask spread). The open interest at the $138.00 strike price for the Calls was 946 contracts but only 109 for their counterpart Call options.
The transaction was as follows:
07/05/2018 Sold 2 DE July 20, 2018 $138.00 100% cash-secured Put options @ $2.68
The Covered Calls Advisor does not use margin, so the detailed information on this position and a potential result shown below reflect the fact that this position was established using 100% cash securitization for the two Put options sold.
A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
100% Cash-Secured Cost Basis: $27,600.00
= $138.00*200 shares
Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$529.71
= ($2.68*200 shares) - $6.29 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Deere stock is above $138.00 strike price at July 20,2018 expiration): +$0.00
= ($138.00-$138.00)*200 shares
Total Net Profit (If Deere stock price is above $138.00 strike price at July 20th options expiration): +$529.71
= (+$529.71 options income +$0.00 dividend income +$0.00 capital appreciation)
Absolute Return (If Deere stock is above $138.00 strike price at July 20th, 2018 options expiration): +1.9%
= +$529.71/$27,600.00
Annualized Return: +43.8%
= (+$529.71/$27,600.00)*(365/16 days)
The downside 'breakeven price' at expiration is at $135.32 ($138.00 - $2.68), which is 2.8% below the current market price of $139.28.
Using the Black-Scholes Options Pricing Model in the Schwab Hypothetical Options Pricing Calculator, the probability of making a profit (if held until the July 20th options expiration) for this John Deere & Co. short Puts position is 57.4%. This compares with a probability of profit of 50.4% for a buy-and-hold of Deere shares over the same time period. Using this probability of profit of 57.4%, the expected value annualized return-on-investment (if held until expiration) is +25.1% (+43.8% * 57.4%), an attractive risk/reward profile for this relatively conservative investment.
Labels:
Transactions -- Purchase
Tuesday, July 3, 2018
Roll Out Covered Calls in Blackstone Group LP
Today, a continuation Covered Calls position was established in Blackstone Group L.P. (ticker BX) for the July 20th, 2018 options expiration at the $35.00 strike price. When the stock was at $34.02 today and the July 20th, 2018 $35.00 Calls were priced at $.32, this Advisor decided to sell 5 Call options against the 500 shares of BX stock currently held in the portfolio.
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are (1) a +0.2% absolute return in 170 days (equivalent to a +0.4% annualized return-on-investment) if BX stock price unchanged at $34.02 at July 20th options expiration; or (2) a +3.0% absolute return in 170 days (equivalent to a +6.4% annualized return-on-investment) if assigned at the July 20th expiration.
Blackstone Group L.P. (BX) -- Roll Out Covered Calls Position
The implied volatility of the Call options was 22.5 and the open interest was 2,842 contracts today when this transaction was made.
The transactions to-date are as follows:
01/31/2018 Bought 500 shares of Blackstone Group stock @ $36.24 per share
01/31/2018 Sold 5 BX February 16th, 2018 $35.00 Call options @ $1.50 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction
02/01/2018 Rolled-Up-and-Out to the March 16th, 2018 $36.00 strike price at at net debit of $.70 ($2.19 - $1.49) per share
02/08/2018 $425.00 (Ex-distribution of $.85 per share x 500 shares)
03/16/2018 Call options expired with stock price below strike price
05/07/2018 $175.00 received (ex-distribution of $.35 x 500 shares)
07/03/2018 Sold 5 July 20, 2018 $35.00 Call options @ $.32 per share
Note: the price of BX was $34.02 when these options were sold
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $17,378.30
= ($36.24 - $1.50)* 500 shares + $8.30 commissions
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$543.40
= ($1.50 - $.70 + $.32) * 500 shares -2*$8.30 commissions
(b) Distribution Income: $600.00
= ($.85 + $.35) per share * 500 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BX stock price is unchanged at $34.02 at July 20th options expiration): -$1,114.95
= ($34.02 - $36.24) * 500 shares -$4.95 commission; OR
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BX stock price is assigned at $35.00 strike price at July 20th options expiration): -$624.95
= ($35.00 - $36.24) * 500 shares -$4.95 commission
1. Total Net Profit (If BX stock price unchanged at $34.02 at July 20th options expiration): +$28.45
= (+$543.40 options income +$600.00 distribution income -$1,114.95 capital appreciation); OR
2. Total Net Profit (If BX stock price is assigned at $35.00 strike price at July 20th options expiration): +$518.45
= (+543.40 options income + $600.00 distribution income - $624.95 capital appreciation)
1. Absolute Return (If BX stock price unchanged at $34.02 at July 20th options expiration): +0.2%
= +$28.45/$17,378.30
Equivalent Annualized Return: +0.4%
= (+$28.45/$17,378.30)*(365/170 days); OR
2. Absolute Return (If BX stock price is assigned at $35.00 strike price at July 20th options expiration): +3.0%
= +$518.45/$17,378.30
Equivalent Annualized Return: +6.4%
= (+$518.45/$17,378.30)*(365/170 days)
As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are (1) a +0.2% absolute return in 170 days (equivalent to a +0.4% annualized return-on-investment) if BX stock price unchanged at $34.02 at July 20th options expiration; or (2) a +3.0% absolute return in 170 days (equivalent to a +6.4% annualized return-on-investment) if assigned at the July 20th expiration.
Blackstone Group L.P. (BX) -- Roll Out Covered Calls Position
The implied volatility of the Call options was 22.5 and the open interest was 2,842 contracts today when this transaction was made.
The transactions to-date are as follows:
01/31/2018 Bought 500 shares of Blackstone Group stock @ $36.24 per share
01/31/2018 Sold 5 BX February 16th, 2018 $35.00 Call options @ $1.50 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction
02/01/2018 Rolled-Up-and-Out to the March 16th, 2018 $36.00 strike price at at net debit of $.70 ($2.19 - $1.49) per share
02/08/2018 $425.00 (Ex-distribution of $.85 per share x 500 shares)
03/16/2018 Call options expired with stock price below strike price
05/07/2018 $175.00 received (ex-distribution of $.35 x 500 shares)
07/03/2018 Sold 5 July 20, 2018 $35.00 Call options @ $.32 per share
Note: the price of BX was $34.02 when these options were sold
Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $17,378.30
= ($36.24 - $1.50)* 500 shares + $8.30 commissions
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$543.40
= ($1.50 - $.70 + $.32) * 500 shares -2*$8.30 commissions
(b) Distribution Income: $600.00
= ($.85 + $.35) per share * 500 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BX stock price is unchanged at $34.02 at July 20th options expiration): -$1,114.95
= ($34.02 - $36.24) * 500 shares -$4.95 commission; OR
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BX stock price is assigned at $35.00 strike price at July 20th options expiration): -$624.95
= ($35.00 - $36.24) * 500 shares -$4.95 commission
1. Total Net Profit (If BX stock price unchanged at $34.02 at July 20th options expiration): +$28.45
= (+$543.40 options income +$600.00 distribution income -$1,114.95 capital appreciation); OR
2. Total Net Profit (If BX stock price is assigned at $35.00 strike price at July 20th options expiration): +$518.45
= (+543.40 options income + $600.00 distribution income - $624.95 capital appreciation)
1. Absolute Return (If BX stock price unchanged at $34.02 at July 20th options expiration): +0.2%
= +$28.45/$17,378.30
Equivalent Annualized Return: +0.4%
= (+$28.45/$17,378.30)*(365/170 days); OR
2. Absolute Return (If BX stock price is assigned at $35.00 strike price at July 20th options expiration): +3.0%
= +$518.45/$17,378.30
Equivalent Annualized Return: +6.4%
= (+$518.45/$17,378.30)*(365/170 days)
Labels:
Transactions -- Adjustment
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