As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment is +3.2% absolute return in 24 days (equivalent to a +48.0% annualized return-on-investment).
Best Buy Inc. (BBY) -- New Covered Calls Position
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The transactions were as follows:
10/25/2017 Bought 400 shares of Best Buy stock @ $55.11 per share
10/25/2017 Sold 4 Best Buy November 17th, 2017 $52.50 Call options @ $4.23 per share
Note: this was a simultaneous Buy/Write transaction
A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $20,359.63
= ($55.11 - $4.23)* 400 shares + $7.63 commission
Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,692.00
= ($4.23* 400 shares)
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BBY stock is above $52.50 strike price at Nov 17th expiration): -$1,048.95
= ($52.50 -$55.11)* 400 shares - $4.95 commission
Total Net Profit: +$643.05
= (+$1,692.00 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$1,048.95 capital appreciation)
Absolute Return: +3.2%
= +$643.05/$20,359.63
Equivalent Annualized Return: +48.0%
= (+$643.05/$20,359.63)*(365/24 days)
The downside 'breakeven price' at expiration is at $50.88 ($55.11 - $4.23), which is 7.7% below the current market price of $55.11.
Using the Black-Scholes Options Pricing Model, the probability of making a profit (if held until the November 17th, 2017 options expiration) for this Best Buy Covered Calls position is 66.6%, so the expected value annualized ROI of this investment (if held until expiration) is +32.0% (+48.0% * 66.6%), a very good result for this moderately in-the-money Covered Calls position.
The 'crossover price' at expiration is $59.34 ($55.11 + $4.23). This is the price above which it would have been more profitable to buy-and-hold Best Buy stock until the November 17th, 2017 options expiration date.