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Thursday, January 16, 2025

Established Covered Calls in Nvidia Corporation

Early this afternoon a Covered Calls position was established in Nvidia Corporation (ticker NVDA). Three hundred shares were purchased at $134.61 and three January 31st, 2025 weekly Call options were sold at the $130.00 strike price at $7.25 per share--a buy/write net debit amount of $127.36 per share which provides a $2.64 per share time value profit potential.  A Covered Calls position was established instead of a 100% Cash-Secured Puts position since the maximum time value profit potential of $2.64 per share for the Covered Calls exceeds the $2.36 per share time value available for the Puts when this position was established. 

As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result is +2.1% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +50.3% annualized return-on-investment for the next 15 days) if the Nvidia share price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $130.00 strike price) and therefore assigned on its Jan. 31st, 2025 options expiration date.  The probability this outcome will be achieved was 65.4% when this position was established.

 
Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) -- New Covered Calls Position

The buy/write market order transaction was as follows:
1/16/2025 Bought 300 Nvidia Corporation shares at $134.61.
1/16/2025 Sold 3 NVDA 1/31/2025 $130.00 Call options @ $7.25 per share.  The Implied Volatility of the Calls was 39.9 when these Calls were sold.

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this Nvidia Corporation Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $38,210.01
= ($134.61 - $7.25) * 300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$2,172.99
= ($7.25 * 300 shares) - $2.01 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 300 Nvidia shares assigned at the $130.00 strike price at expiration): -$1,383.00
+($130.00 strike price - $134.61 stock purchase price) * 300 shares

Total Net Profit Potential (If 300 Nvidia shares in-the-money and therefore assigned at the $130.00 strike price at the options expiration date): +$789.99
= (+$2,172.99 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $1,383.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +2.1%
= +$789.99/$38,210.01
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment: +50.3%
= (+$789.99/$38,210.01) * (365/15 days)

Established Covered Calls in Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

A Covered Calls position was established in Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ticker ANF) with a January 31st, 2025 options expiration date.   A net limit buy/write order was executed when 300 shares of Abercrombie were purchased at $128.35 and three January 31st, 2025 Call options at the $120.00 strike price were sold at $10.37 per share.  The time value was $2.02 = [$10.37 Call options premium - ($128.35 stock price - $120.00 strike price)].  The Implied Volatility of these Calls was 42.8 when this transaction was executed and the probability that the Call options will be in-the-money on the options expiration date was 73.7% when this position was established.  As preferred, the next quarterly earnings report on March 5th, 2025 is after the January 31st options expiration date. 

Abercrombie was the #1 ranked stock in my Mid-Cap Value+Profitability+Growth custom stock screener that I developed using my StockRover.com stock screener.  As detailed below, it passed every filter in my screener:



A potential return-on-investment result is +1.7% absolute return (equivalent to +41.9% annualized return for the next 15 days) if the stock price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $120.00 strike price) and therefore assigned on the January 31st options expiration date.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) -- New Covered Calls Position

The Buy/Write limit order was executed as follows:
1/16/2025 Bought 300 shares of Abercrombie & Fitch Co. stock @ $128.35 per share.  
1/16/2025 Sold 3 A&F January 31st, 2025 $120.00 Call options @ $10.37 per share.  

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Covered Calls position is as follows:
Stock Purchase Cost: $35,396.01
= ($128.35 - $10.37) *300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$3,108.99
= ($10.37 *300 shares) - $2.01 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 300 ANF shares assigned at $120.00 strike price at expiration): -$2,505.00
+($120.00 - $128.35) * 300 shares

Total Net Profit (If 300 Abercrombie shares assigned at $120.00 strike price at expiration): 
+$603.99 
= (+$3,108.99 options income +$0.00 dividend income - $2,505.00) capital appreciation
 
Absolute Return-on-Investment: +1.7%
= +$603.99/$35,108.99
Annualized Return-on-Investment: +41.9%
= (+$603.99/$35,108.99) * (365/15 days)

Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Established Covered Calls Position in Dell Technologies Inc.

A buy/write limit order in Dell Technologies Inc. (ticker DELL) was executed today at the Covered Calls Advisor's net debit price of $103.18 per share. Three hundred shares were purchased at $110.04 and three January 31st, 2025 Call options were sold for $6.86 at the $105.00 strike price, a time value of $1.82 = [$6.86 options premium - ($110.04 stock price - $105.00 strike price)] per share. 

This position uses the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy (see here).  Dell has an upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.445 per share that goes ex-dividend on January 22nd, 2025 which is prior to the January 31st options expiration date. This is equivalent to an absolute annual dividend yield of 1.6% (at the current $110.04 stock price) and more importantly for this Covered Calls position, an equivalent annualized dividend yield of 8.7% = [($.445/$110.04) x (365/17 days-to-expiration)] for the 17 days duration of this position.  This dividend increases the potential annualized return-on-investment results (compared with a similar position without a dividend capture potential) and the dividend is included in the detailed potential return-on-investment calculations shown below.  Either an early assignment on the day prior to the ex-dividend date or on the January 31st, 2025 options expiration date would be a desirable result given the attractive annualized return-on-investment upon assignment for either outcome.  The next quarterly earnings report is not until February 27th, 2025 which, as desired, is after the January 31st options expiration date.

As detailed on the table at the bottom of this post, all nine criteria of the Dividend Capture Strategy are met with this position.  The Covered Calls Advisor's current Overall Market Meter outlook is Neutral and an in-the-money strike price was used in this case.  The probability that this position will be in-the-money and therefore assigned on its January 31st expiration date was 69.7% when this position was established this morning.  There are 20 analysts covering Dell and their average target price is $149.76 (+36.1% above today's purchase price).

As shown in my GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price) stock screener results below, Dell meets all nineteen criteria for this screener: 

As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are: 

  •  +1.8% absolute return (equivalent to +80.2% annualized return-on-investment for the next 8 days) if the stock is assigned early (business day prior to the January 22nd ex-dividend date); OR 
  • +2.2% absolute return (equivalent to +47.0% annualized return over the next 17 days) if the stock is assigned on the January 31st, 2025 options expiration date.


Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) -- New Covered Calls Position
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was:
1/14/2025 Bought 300 Dell Technologies Inc. shares @ $110.04.
1/14/2025 Sold 3 DELL 1/31/2025 $105.00 Call options @ $6.86 per share.
Note: the Implied Volatility of the Call options was 37.6 when this position was established.
1/22/2025 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.445 per share.

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this Dell Technologies Inc. Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $30,956.01
= ($110.04 - $6.86) * 300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$2,055.99
= ($6.86 * 300 shares) - $2.01 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If options exercised early on Jan. 21st, the last business day prior to the January 22nd, 2025 ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Dell stock assigned on the January 31st, 2025 options expiration -- so the dividend is captured): +$133.50
= ($.445 dividend per share x 300 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If DELL Call options assigned early on January 22nd): -$1,512.00
+($105.00 - $110.04) * 300 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at $105.00 strike price at options expiration): -$1,512.00
+($105.00 - $110.04) * 300 shares

1. Total Net Profit (If options exercised early): +$543.99
= (+$2,055.99 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$1,512.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If Dell shares assigned at $105.00 at the Jan. 31st, 2025 expiration): +$677.49
= (+$2,055.99 options income + $133.50 dividend income - $1,512.00 capital appreciation)

1. Absolute Return-on-Investment [If option exercised on business day prior to the Jan. 22nd ex-dividend date]: +1.8%
= +$543.99/$30,956.01
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If option exercised early): +80.2%
= (+$543.99/$30,956.01) * (365/8 days); or
2. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If Dell shares assigned on the January 31st, 2025 options expiration date): +2.2%
= +$677.49/$30,956.01
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If Dell shares assigned at $105.00 at the Jan. 31st, 2025 expiration): +47.0%
= (+$677.49/$30,956.01) * (365/17 days)

Either outcome provides an attractive return-on-investment result for this Dell Technologies Covered Calls investment.  These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $105.00 strike price at assignment.  However, if the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $102.735 = ($110.04 stock price - $6.86 Call options price - $.445 dividend) provides 6.6% downside protection below today's stock purchase price.

At least eight of the nine metrics used in the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy spreadsheet (see below) must be 'YES' prior to establishing a new Covered Calls position using the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture strategy.  As shown in the chart below, all nine criteria are achieved for this Dell Technologies Covered Calls position.


Monday, December 30, 2024

Monthly Results for December 2024

This summary report provides the results on all positions that have been closed out during December 2024.  During this past month, the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio held a total of thirteen positions that were closed out.  Five positions were closed out at a profit and eight Covered Calls positions were out-of-the-money on their respective options expiration dates, so these stocks remained in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.  

Because of my concerns about the stock market in upcoming weeks, I sold all eight remaining positions today (all at a net loss) and will keep the proceeds invested in a Schwab Money Market Fund until I am confident of a more advantageous stock and Covered Calls investing environment.  Since my wife and I are now in our 70s, we are more comfortable with preserving our existing investment capital as part of our estate plan rather than continuing with investment risks during periods like now when we perceive a greater likelihood of market underperformance.  I will continue with my Covered Calls investing strategy whenever I identify specific opportunities with especially attractive risk/reward profiles and, as always, will post these positions on my Covered Calls Advisor Blog the same day the transactions occur.       

The specific results for each of these thirteen closed positions are summarized as follows: 

  • Four Covered Calls positions expired in-the-money on their weekly options expiration dates with the following results: 
    1. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company -- +1.4% absolute return-on-investment in 10 days (equivalent to a +49.6% annualized return-on-investment).
    2. Netease Inc. -- +1.5% absolute return-on-investment in 11 days (equivalent to a +50.4% annualized return-on-investment).
    3. Nvidia Corporation (12/6/2024 expiration) -- +2.5% absolute return-on-investment in 15 days (equivalent to a +61.0% annualized return-on-investment).
    4. Nvidia Corporation (12/27/2024 expiration) -- +2.5% absolute return-on-investment in 10 days (equivalent to a +90.8% annualized return-on-investment).

  • One Covered Calls position was closed out by early assignment on the last trading day prior to its ex-dividend date with the following result: 
    1. DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc. -- +1.2% absolute return-on-investment in 10 days (equivalent to a +45.6% annualized return-on-investment). 

  • Eight Covered Calls positions were out-of-the-money on their respective options expiration dates and I decided to close them out today with the following results: 
    1. Bank of America Corporation -- -4.3% absolute return-on-investment in 28 days (equivalent to a -56.4% annualized return-on-investment).
    2. Global Payments Inc. -- -2.0% absolute return-on-investment in 21 days (equivalent to a -35.0% annualized return-on-investment).
    3. iShares 20+ Years Treasury Bonds ETF -- -2.5% absolute return-on-investment in 26 days (equivalent to a -35.1% annualized return-on-investment).
    4. Lam Research Corporation -- -0.7% absolute return-on-investment in 21 days (equivalent to a -12.8% annualized return-on-investment).
    5. Merck & Co. Inc. -- -0.6% absolute return-on-investment in 24 days (equivalent to a -8.5% annualized return-on-investment).
    6. Schlumberger (SLB) -- -4.2% absolute return-on-investment in 28 days (equivalent to a -54.4% annualized return-on-investment).
    7. Tyson Foods Inc. -- -9.9% absolute return-on-investment in 34 days (equivalent to a -106.4% annualized return-on-investment).
    8. Uber Technologies Inc. -- -7.2% absolute return-on-investment in 24 days (equivalent to a -106.4% annualized return-on-investment). 

This Covered Calls Advisor blog is available to anyone interested in learning about implementing a successful Covered Calls investing strategy.  As always, I also encourage you to email me at partlow@cox.net any time you would like my feedback on your Covered Call position ideas or your questions on anything related to the Covered Calls investing strategy.

 

Best Wishes to All for a Happy and Prosperous New Year,

Jeff Partlow
Covered Calls Advisor
partlow@cox.net