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Saturday, May 17, 2025

May 16th, 2025 Monthly Options Expiration Results

The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio had three Covered Calls positions with May 16th, 2025 monthly options expirations and all three positions closed with their stock prices in-the-money. The Calls expired yesterday with no remaining value and the Covered Calls were closed out by the stocks being sold at their respective strike prices, so the maximum potential return-on-investment profit was achieved for these three positions.  The return-on-investment details for each position is as follows:

1. Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) -- +6.0% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +41.3% annualized return-on-investment) for the 53 days of this investment.  This Nvidia Covered Calls position had a $115.00 strike price and it closed at $135.40 yesterday.  The most recent blog post showing the details of this position is here

2. Oneok Inc. (OKE) -- +2.3% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +39.1% annualized return-on-investment) for the 21 days of this investment.  This Oneok position had a $80.00 strike price and it closed at $85.67 yesterday.  The blog post showing the details of this position is here.

3. Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) -- +1.4% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +46.2% annualized return-on-investment) for the 11 days of this investment.  This Wells Fargo position had a $72.00 strike price and it closed at $76.18 yesterday.  The blog post showing the details of this position is here

As always, I welcome your questions at the email address shown below on any topics related to the Covered Calls investing strategy. 

Jeff Partlow
The Covered Calls Advisor
partlow@cox.net


Friday, May 16, 2025

Established Covered Calls in Nvidia Corporation

Today a Covered Calls position was established in Nvidia Corporation (ticker NVDA). Four hundred shares were purchased at $135.12 and four May 30th, 2025 weekly Call options were sold at the $125.00 strike price at $12.70 per share--a buy/write net debit amount of $122.42 per share which provides a $2.58 per share time value profit potential. 

Nvidia is very highly ranked in several of my stock screeners and although the TTM P/E Ratio is relatively high at 45, it is historically low for Nvidia and is satisfactory given its future estimated potential sales and profits growth rates.  So, I decided I wanted to continue with an ongoing Covered Calls position in Nvidia.  Since my current Nvidia CC position expires today and will be assigned, I established another new NVDA CC position to continue with my investment in Nvidia.  The Implied Volatility of these Calls is very high at 61.3 which is attributable to the existence of its quarterly earnings report on May 28th (which is prior to the May 30th options expiration date).  Consequently, I decided to establish a moderately in-the-money strike price with a 72.6% probability that the stock will be in-the-money on its 5/30/2025 expiration date. 
 
As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result is +2.1% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +54.8% annualized return-on-investment for the next 14 days) if the Nvidia share price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $125.00 strike price) and therefore assigned on its May 30th, 2025 options expiration date.  

Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) -- New Covered Calls Position

Today's buy/write net limit order transaction was as follows:
5/16/2025 Bought 400 Nvidia Corporation shares at $135.12.
5/16/2025 Sold 4 NVDA 5/30/2025 $125.00 Call options @ $12.70 per share.  

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this Nvidia Corporation Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $48,970.68
= ($135.12 - $12.70) * 400 shares + $2.68 commission

Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$5,077.32
= ($12.70 * 400 shares) - $2.68 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 400 Nvidia shares assigned at the $125.00 strike price at expiration): -$4,048.00
+($125.00 strike price - $135.12 stock purchase price) * 400 shares

Total Net Profit Potential (If 400 Nvidia shares in-the-money and therefore assigned at the $125.00 strike price at the options expiration date): +$1,029.32
= (+$5,077.32 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $4,048.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +2.1%
= +$1,029.32/$48,970.68
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment: +54.8%
= (+$1,029.32/$48,970.68) * (365/14 days)

Saturday, May 10, 2025

May 9th, 2025 Option Expiration Results

The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio had one Covered Calls position in D.R. Horton Inc. (DHI) at the May 9th, 2025 weekly options expiration date and at the $120.00 strike price.  The position closed in-the-money yesterday at $122.03 per share, so the Call options expired and the 200 DHI shares were sold at their $120.00 strike price.  So, despite a decline in the stock price from its original purchase price of $125.39 to $122.03 yesterday, this position was profitable because (a) an in-the-money Covered Calls strike price was selected; and (2) my dividend capture strategy (see here) was used.  A summary of the results is:

DHI -- +1.3% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +43.6% annualized return-on-investment) for the 11 days of this Covered Calls investment.  The original blog post when this position was established is here

Jeff Partlow
The Covered Calls Advisor
partlow@cox.net

Tuesday, May 6, 2025

Early Assignment of Las Vegas Sands Corp.

This morning I received an email notification from my broker (Schwab) that the 5 Las Vegas Sands Corp. (ticker symbol LVS) May 16th, 2025 Call options were exercised early, so the 500 shares of Las Vegas Sands stock in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio were assigned (i.e. sold) at the $34.00 strike price. 

Las Vegas Sands stock was $38.31 at yesterday's market close.  Early exercise by the owners of these Call options was expected since yesterday was the last business day before LVS's ex-dividend date and there was $.00 time value remaining in these Call options.  So the Call owner exercised their option to buy the shares in order to capture today's $.25 per share ex-dividend.  The per share stock price had increased from $35.98 when this Las Vegas Sands Corp. position was originally established on April 28th to $38.31 (which was 12.7% in-the-money) at yesterday's market close.  I remain very cautious on the stock market during the upcoming weeks, so I plan to keep the majority of my investments in a money market fund (including the cash received from closing out this LVS position).

As detailed below, the actual return-on-investment result achieved for this Las Vegas Sands position was +1.7% absolute return (equivalent to +78.3% annualized return-on-investment) for the 8 days this position was held. 

Las Vegas Sands Corporation (LVS) -- Covered Calls Position Closed by Early Assignment
The buy/write transaction was:
4/28/2025 Bought 500 Las Vegas Sands shares @ $35.98
4/28/2025 Sold 5 LVS 5/16/2025 $34.00 Call options @ $2.56 per share.
Note: Implied Volatility (IV) of the Call options was 43.6 when this position was transacted which, as preferred, is above the current VIX of 25.8.   
5/6/2025 Covered Calls position closed out by early assignment, so 5 LVS Calls expired and my 500 shares of LVS stock sold at the $34.00 strike price.

The overall performance result (including commissions) for this Las Vegas Sands Corp. Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $16,713.35
= ($35.98 - $2.56) * 500 shares + $3.35 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,276.65
= ($2.56 * 500 shares) - $3.35 commission
(b) Dividend Income (LVS Call options exercised early on May 5th, 2025, the last business day prior to the May 6th ex-div date): +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation: -$990.00
+($34.00 strike price - $35.98 stock purchase price) * 500 shares

Total Net Profit: +$286.65
= (+$1,276.65 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $990.00 capital appreciation)

Absolute Return-on-Investment: +1.7%
= +$286.65/$16,713.35
Annualized Return-on-Investment: +78.3%
= (+$286.65/$16,713.35) * (365/8 days)

Monday, May 5, 2025

Established Covered Calls Position in Wells Fargo & Company

A short-term Covered Calls position was established in Wells Fargo & Company (ticker symbol WFC) today when the Covered Calls Advisor's buy/write limit order was executed -- 300 shares were purchased at $74.20 and 3 May 16th, 2025 monthly Call options were sold at $2.80 at the $72.00 strike price.  The corresponding extrinsic value (i.e. time value) was $.60 per share [$2.80 Call options premium - ($74.20 stock purchase price - $72.00 strike price)], all of which will be profit if the stock is assigned (either by early assignment on the day prior to the May 9th ex-dividend date or at the May 16th options expiration date). The Implied Volatility of the Call options was 27.7 which, as desired by the Covered Calls Advisor, is above the current 23.2 of the S&P 500 Volatility Index (i.e. VIX).  Also as preferred, the next earnings report on July 15th, 2025 is well after the options expiration date.

At today's purchase price, the upcoming ex-dividend of $.40 has a 2.2% annualized dividend yield.  So, this short-term (only 11 days until options expiration) position is established to take advantage of the potential to achieve a satisfactory annualized return-on-investment in a position that meets all nine criteria of the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy (see table at end of this post).  

Most companies in the Financial Sector (such as Wells Fargo) provide only modest growth prospects, but they often provide good annual dividend yields.  Consequently, the Covered Calls Advisor targets opportunities to use the Dividend Capture Strategy in all Financial Sector Covered Calls positions.  This new Wells Fargo Covered Calls position continues the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy of often selling in-the-money monthly Covered Calls for one of six mega-cap U.S. banks (Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo) for each options expiration month: (JPMorgan Chase quarterly for Jan, Apr, July, and Oct options expirations; Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, and/or Wells Fargo for Feb, May, Aug, and Nov options expirations; and Bank of America and/or Goldman Sachs for Mar, Jun, Sep, and Dec options expirations).

The goal of these monthly Covered Calls in these banks is to both provide an opportunity to either: (1) potentially capture the quarterly dividend payment and if the stock price remains above the strike price at options expiration, in which case the maximum possible return-on-investment result on the options expiration date for the position would be achieved; or (2) have the stock assigned early on the day prior to the ex-dividend date in which case the Covered Calls Advisor is usually very pleased since the Dividend Capture Strategy criteria are designed such that the annualized return-on-investment for early assignment normally exceeds the Covered Calls Advisor's minimum threshold (as is the case with this Wells Fargo position).  So far, applying this approach has provided attractive annualized return results -- better than would be achieved if Covered Calls positions for these bank stocks were held in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio during the other two non-dividend paying months each quarter.  

Two potential return-on-investment results for this position are highlighted below (including the possibility of early assignment since the ex-dividend is prior to the May 16th options expiration date).  Given the Covered Calls Advisor's current Neutral overall market sentiment, a slightly in-the-money Covered Calls position was established with a probability of 73.0% that the stock will be in-the-money, and therefore assigned (i.e. sold), on the May 16th, 2024 options expiration date.  

As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are: 

  •  +0.8% absolute return (equivalent to +75.8% annualized return for the next 4 days) in the relatively unlikely event that the stock is assigned early (business day prior to this Friday's 5/9/2025 ex-dividend date); OR 
  • +1.4% absolute return (equivalent to +46.2% annualized return over the next 11 days) if the stock is assigned on the May 16th options expiration date.


Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) -- New Covered Calls Position
The buy/write transaction was:
5/5/2025 Bought 300 Wells Fargo shares @ $74.20
5/5/2025 Sold 3 Wells Fargo 5/16/2025 $72.00 Call options @ $2.80
5/9/2025 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.40 per share

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this Wells Fargo Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $21,422.01
= ($74.20 - $2.80) * 300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$837.99
= ($2.80 * 300 shares) - $2.01 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If option exercised early on May 4th, the day prior to the May 5th ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Wells Fargo stock assigned at the May 16th, 2025 options expiration; so the $.40 dividend is captured): +$120.00
= ($.40 dividend per share x 300 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Wells Fargo Call options assigned early on May 5th, 2025): -$660.00
+($72.00 strike price - $74.20 stock purchase price) * 300 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at $72.00 strike price at options expiration): -$660.00
+($72.00 - $74.20) * 300 shares

1. Total Net Profit [If option exercised on 5/4/2025 (business day prior to the 5/5/2025 ex-dividend date)]: +$177.99
= (+$837.99 options income +$0.00 dividend income - $660.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If Wells Fargo shares assigned at $72.00 at the 5/16/2025 expiration): +$297.99
= (+$837.99 options income + $120.00 dividend income - $660.00 capital appreciation)

1. Absolute Return-on-Investment [If option exercised early on 5/5/2025]: +0.8%
= +$177.99/$21,422.01
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If option exercised early): +75.8%
= (+$297.99/$21,422.01) * (365/4 days); or
2. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If Wells Fargo shares assigned at $72.00 at the 5/16/2025 options expiration): +1.4%
= +$297.99/$21,422.01
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If Wells Fargo shares assigned at $72.00 at the 5/16/2025 options expiration date): +46.2%
= (+$297.99/$21,422.01) * (365/11 days)

Either outcome provides a satisfactory return-on-investment result for this Wells Fargo investment.  These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $72.00 strike price at assignment.  If the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $71.00 ($74.20 - $2.80 - $.40) provides a 4.3% downside protection below today's stock purchase price.

At least eight of the nine metrics used in the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy spreadsheet must be 'YES' prior to establishing a position.  As shown below with this Wells Fargo position, all nine criteria are met.

Saturday, May 3, 2025

May 2nd, 2025 Weekly Options Expiration Results

One of the nice features of the Covered Calls investing strategy is that we can easily calculate the potential return-on-investment (roi) results if the stock price were to close on the options expiration date at any possible price.  For example, I always make this calculation for the circumstance if the stock were to be in-the-money (i.e. above the Call option's strike price) on its options expiration date.  For any option chain that I am considering, this calculation provides me with the maximum potential return-on-investment result for any Covered Calls position I am contemplating establishing, and it does this in advance (i.e. before) I enter the trade. Using Schwab's Think or Swim platform I also look at the real-time probability that any particular Call option chain I'm evaluating will be assigned (i.e. close in-the-money) on its options expiration date.  Knowing both the risk (probability %) and reward (return-on-investment) for any specific Covered Calls position prior to making a Covered Calls investment is invaluable for making decisions that are consistent with my personal risk tolerance profile.
Furthermore, since Covered Calls and 100% Cash-Secured Puts are synthetically equivalent strategies, just prior to entering the trade order, we should also evaluate whether a Covered Calls or a Cash-Secured Puts order would be preferable.  This is easily done by comparing the time value (i.e. extrinsic value) of the comparable Calls or Puts position to determine which one has a higher value and therefore a higher potential return-on-investment.  In recent history, Calls have normally had the higher time value which is why I almost always choose to enter Covered Calls orders (even when the circumstance occurs that the time value between comparable Calls and Puts are basically equal).      

The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio had two Covered Calls positions with May 2nd, 2025 weekly options expirations.  Both positions closed on this options expiration date yesterday with their stock prices in-the-money (i.e. above the strike price), so the Calls expired with no remaining value and the Covered Calls were closed out with the stocks sold at their respective strike prices; and their maximum potential return-on-investment results were achieved.  A summary of the return-on-investment results for each position is as follows:

1. Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) -- +3.6% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +73.8% annualized return-on-investment) for the 18 days of this investment.  This Amazon.com position had a $175.00 strike price and it closed at $189.98 yesterday.  The blog post showing the details of this position on the day the position was originally established is here

2. Meta Platforms Inc. (META) -- +3.6% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +118.4% annualized return-on-investment) for the 11 days of this investment.  This Meta position had a $460.00 strike price and it closed yesterday at $597.02.  The blog post showing the details of this position on the day the position was originally established is here.

To read some of my prior posts related to my decision-making processes for Covered Calls investing, click on the "Covered Calls Processes" link shown in the "Categories" section in the right sidebar of the homepage (which is here).  One posted article there that several readers have found especially helpful and that you might begin with titled "Exploiting Our Covered Calls Investing "Edges"' is here.  

As always, I welcome your comments or questions at the email address shown below on any topics related to the Covered Calls investing strategy. 

Jeff Partlow
The Covered Calls Advisor
partlow@cox.net


Early Assignment of Covered Calls Position in Citigroup Inc.

I was notified by Schwab via email early this morning that the three Citigroup Inc. (ticker C) May 16th, 2025 Call options were exercised yesterday.  Because Citi's stock price increased from $62.11 when this position was established to $70.59 at yesterday's market close, the original $1.22 time value in the Calls when the position was established had declined on yesterday's market close to $0.00.  So, with eleven days remaining until the May 16th options expiration date, the owner of these Calls exercised their option to buy the 300 shares at the $57.50 strike price in order to receive Monday's $.56 per share ex-dividend.  Although I will not receive the ex-dividend, I am pleased with the +41.4% annualized-return-on-investment (aroi) result achieved since it exceeds the maximum +38.3% aroi that might have been achieved if this position instead remained in-the-money and would therefore be assigned on its May 16th, 2025 options expiration date.   

The post when this Citigroup Inc. Covered Calls position was originally established is here.  As detailed below, the return-on-investment result for this Citigroup Covered Calls position was +2.2% absolute return in 19 days (equivalent to a +41.4% annualized return-on-investment).


Citigroup Inc. (C) -- Covered Calls Position Closed by Early Assignment
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was:
4/16/2025 Bought 300 Citigroup Inc. shares @ $62.11.
4/16/2025 Sold 3 Citi 5/16/2025 $57.50 Call options @ $5.83 per share.
Note: Three Citigroup Inc. Calls were exercised on the last business day prior to their May 5th, 2025 ex-dividend date, so the Calls expired and the 300 Citi shares were sold at the $57.50 strike price.

The overall performance result (including commissions) for this Citigroup Inc. Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $16,886.01
= ($62.11 - $5.83) * 300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,746.99
= ($5.83 * 300 shares) - $2.01 commission
(b) Dividend Income (Citi Call options exercised early on May 2nd, the last business day prior to the May 5th, 2025 ex-div date): +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation: -$1,383.00
+($57.50 strike price - $62.11 stock purchase price) * 300 shares

Total Net Profit (Citi Call options exercised early): +$363.99
= (+$1,746.99 options income +$0.00 dividend income - $1,383.00 capital appreciation)

Absolute Return-on-Investment: +2.2%
= +$363.99/$16,886.01
Annualized Return-on-Investment: +41.4%
= (+$363.99/$16,886.01) * (365/19 days)

Thursday, May 1, 2025

Continuation of Covered Calls Position in Nvidia Corporation

The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio has a Covered Calls position in Nvidia Corporation (ticker NVDA) which expired last Friday with the stock at $111.01 which was below the $115.00 strike price.  Today this position was continued by rolling out to the May 16th, 2025 monthly options expiration at the same $115.00 strike price by selling-to-open three Calls at $4.10 per share when Nvidia's stock price was $113.99.  

As detailed below, a potential outcome for this Nvidia investment if the stock is in-the-money and therefore assigned on the options expiration date is +6.0% absolute return-on-investment over 53 days (equivalent to +41.3% annualized-return-on-investment) if the stock closes above the $115.00 strike price on the 5/16/2025 options expiration date.   This position demonstrates that by selling in-the-money strike prices, the Calls premium income received can overcome a significant 4.5% stock price decline from its original stock purchase price and still achieve a very positive return-on-investment outcome.  The details showing this potential return-on-investment result are as follows:


Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) -- Continuation of Covered Calls Position
The buy/write net limit order transaction was as follows:
3/24/2025 Bought 300 Nvidia Corporation shares at $120.39.
3/24/2025 Sold 3 NVDA 4/11/2025 $120.00 Call options @ $4.88 per share.  The Implied Volatility of the Calls was 49.9 when these Calls were sold.
4/11/2025 Three hundred Nvidia shares closed below the $120.00 strike price at $110.71, so the three Call options expired and the 300 Nvidia shares remain in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.
4/14/2025 Continued this Nvidia Corporation Covered Calls position by selling 3 April 25th, 2025 $115.00 Calls at $3.35 per share when the stock was trading at $112.24 per share.  
4/25/2025 Three hundred Nvidia shares closed below the $115.00 strike price at $111.01, so the three Call options expired and the 300 Nvidia shares remain in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.
5/1/2025 Continued this Nvidia Corporation Covered Calls position by selling 3 May 16th, 2025 $115.00 Calls at $4.10 per share when the stock was trading at $113.99 per share.  

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this Nvidia Corp. Covered Calls position if the stock is in-the-money (i.e. above the $115.00 strike price) on its 5/16/2025 options expiration date is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $34,655.01
= ($120.39 - $4.88) * 300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$3,692.97
= ($4.88 + $3.35 + $4.10) * 300 shares - $6.03 commissions
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 300 Nvidia shares assigned at the $115.00 strike price on its 5/16/2025 options expiration date): -$1,617.00
+($115.00 strike price - $120.39 stock purchase price) * 300 shares

Total Net Profit Potential (If 300 Nvidia shares in-the-money and therefore assigned at the $115.00 strike price at the 5/16/2025 options expiration date): +$847.98
= (+$3,692.97 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $1,617.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +6.0%
= +$2,075.97/$34,655.01
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment: +41.3%
= (
+$2,075.97/$34,655.01) * (365/53 days)