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Monday, March 31, 2025

Continuation of Covered Calls Position in Alphabet Inc.

The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio has a Covered Calls position in Alphabet Inc. (ticker GOOGL) which expired last Friday with the stock at $154.33 which was below the $155.00 strike price.  Today this position was continued by rolling down to the April 17th, 2025 monthly options expiration at the $150.00 strike price by selling-to-open two Calls at $7.00 per share when the price of Alphabet's stock was $153.75.  

As detailed below, a potential outcome for this Alphabet investment if the stock is in-the-money and therefore assigned on the options expiration date is +2.6% absolute return-on-investment over 34 days (equivalent to +28.4% annualized-return-on-investment) if the stock closes above the $150.00 strike price on the 4/17/2025 options expiration date.   This position demonstrates that if the stock price remains in-the-money on the 4/17/2025 options expiration date, the Alphabet shares will be sold at the $150.00 strike price which is a substantial 7.7% decline below the original stock purchase price.  However, by selling short-term in-the-money strike prices, the Calls premium income received would exceed the 7.7% stock price decline so that a net annualized positive return-on-investment of +28.4% would still be achieved.  The details showing this potential return-on-investment result are as follows:

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): Continuation of the Covered Calls Position
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was as follows:
3/14/2025 Bought 200 shares of Alphabet Inc. stock @ $162.51 per share.  
3/14/2025 Sold 2 Alphabet Inc. March 28th, 2025 $155.00 Call options @ $9.57 per share.
3/28/2025 Alphabet stock price was below the $155.00 strike price, so the Calls expired and the 200 Alphabet shares remained in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio. 
3/31/2025 Continued this Alphabet Covered Calls position by selling two April 17th, 2025 $150.00 Call options @ $7.00 per share when the stock was trading today at $153.75.  
Note: The Implied Volatility of the Call options was 36.1 when this transaction was executed which, as I prefer, is well above the current 22.7 of the S&P 500 Volatility Index (i.e. VIX). 

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $30,589.34
= ($162.51 - $9.57) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$3,311.32
= ($9.57 + $7.00) * 200 shares - $2.68
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00 
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Alphabet stock is above $150.00 strike price at the 4/17/2025 options expiration date): -$2,502.00
= ($150.00 strike price - $162.51 stock purchase price) * 200 shares

Total Net Profit Potential: +$809.32
= (+$3,311.32 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $2,502.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +2.6%
= +$809.32/$30,589.34
Potential Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment: +28.4%
= (+$809.32/$30,589.34) * (365/34 days)

Covered Call Position Established in Microsoft Corporation

Early in this morning's trading session (9:52am ET), a Covered Call position was establised in Microsoft Corporation (ticker MSFT).  My buy/write net debit limit order was executed and 100 Microsoft shares were purchased at $368.86 and 1 April 11th, 2025 $360.00 Call option was sold at $14.16 per share -- a net debit of $354.70 per share.  So, the potential time value profit if the stock is in-the-money and therefore closed out by assignment at expiration is $5.30 per share [$14.16 Call option premium - ($368.86 stock purchase price - $360.00 strike price)].  The probability of assignment on the options expiration date was 65.1% when this transaction occurred.  This position avoids the next quarterly earnings report on April 22nd which is after the April 11th options expiration date. 

As detailed below, a potential outcome for this Microsoft Corporation investment is +1.5% absolute return-on-investment for the next 11 days (equivalent to +49.5% annualized-return-on-investment) if the stock closes above the $360.00 strike price on the April 11th, 2025 options expiration date.

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) -- New Covered Call Position
The net debit buy/write limit order was executed as follows:
3/31/2025 Bought 100 shares of Microsoft stock @ $368.86 per share.  
3/31/2025 Sold 1 MSFT April 11th, 2025 $360.00 Call option @ $14.16 per share.  The Implied Volatility of the Call was 34.5 when this transaction was executed.

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) if this position is assigned on its 4/11/2025 option expiration date is as follows:
Microsoft Covered Call Net Investment: $35,470.67
= ($368.86 - $14.16) * 100 shares + $.67 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Call Option Income: +$1,415.33
= ($14.16 * 100 shares) - $.67 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Microsoft stock is above the $360.00 strike price at the April 11th option expiration date): -$886.00
= ($360.00 - $368.86) * 100 shares

Potential Total Net Profit (If assigned at expiration): +$529.33
= (+$1,415.33 option income + $0.00 dividend income - $886.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +1.5%
= +$529.33/$35,470.67
Potential Equivalent Annualized-Return-on-Investment: +49.5%
= (+$529.33/$35,470.67) * (365/11 days)

Saturday, March 29, 2025

March 28th, 2025 Options Expiration Results

The Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio had four Covered Calls positions with March 28th, 2025 options expiration dates.  Three positions (Boeing Company, Robinhood Markets Inc., and Taiwan Semiconductor ADR) closed in-the-money so their Calls expired and the shares were called away (i.e. sold) at their respective strike prices.  One position in Alphabet Inc. closed slightly out-of-the-money so the Calls expired and the shares remain in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.    

The results of these positions provides some examples of how it is possible to achieve profitable results even as stock prices are declining -- by establishing short-term (i.e. less than a month) in-the-money Covered Calls positions.  A summary of the results for each of these four positions are as follows:

1. Boeing Company (BA) -- +2.5% absolute return (equivalent to +51.3% annualized return-on-investment) for the 18 days of this investment.  This Covered Call position was assigned at the $140.00 strike price on its 3/28/2025 options expiration date since the stock closed in-the-money at $173.31 per share.  The original post detailing this Covered Calls position is here

2. Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) -- +3.7% absolute return (equivalent to +89.3% annualized return-on-investment) for the 15 days of this investment.  This Covered Calls position was assigned at the $32.00 strike price on its March 28th options expiration date since it closed in-the-money yesterday at $41.92 per share.  The original post detailing this Covered Calls position is here

3. Taiwan Semiconductor ADR (TSM) -- +2.6% absolute return (equivalent to +56.0% annualized return-on-investment) for the 17 days of this investment.  This Covered Calls position was assigned at the $160.00 strike price on its March 28th options expiration date since it closed in-the-money yesterday at $165.25 per share.  The original post detailing this Covered Calls position is here

4. Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) -- This Covered Calls position closed yesterday at $154.33 which was slightly below its $155.00 strike price, so the two 3/28/2025 GOOGL Call options expired and 200 shares now remain in the Covered Calls Advisor Portfolio.  The original post detailing this position is here.  Early in the upcoming week I will decide to either continue this Covered Calls position by selling 2 Call options against the 200 Alphabet Inc. shares currently held or close out the position by selling the 200 Alphabet shares.  

I welcome your feedback at my email address shown below with your questions on topics related to this blog post specifically or anything related to the Covered Calls investing strategy.

Best Wishes,

Jeff Partlow
The Covered Calls Advisor
partlow@cox.net

Friday, March 28, 2025

Established Covered Calls Position in NetApp Inc.

A buy/write limit order in NetApp Inc. (ticker NTAP) was executed today at the Covered Calls Advisor's net debit price of $85.08 per share. Two hundred shares were purchased at $88.78 and two April 11th, 2025 Call options were sold for $3.70 at the $86.00 strike price, a time value of $.92 per share = [$3.70 options premium - ($88.78 stock purchase price - $86.00 strike price)]. 

This position uses the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy (see here).  NetApp has an upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.52 per share that goes ex-dividend one week from today on April 4th, 2025 which is exactly one week prior to the April 11th options expiration date. This is equivalent to an absolute annual dividend yield of 2.3% (at the current $88.78 stock price) and more importantly for this Covered Calls position, an equivalent annualized dividend yield of 15.3% = [($.52/$88.78) x (365/14 days-to-expiration)] for the 14 days duration of this position.  This dividend increases the potential annualized return-on-investment results (compared with a similar position without a dividend capture potential) and the dividend is included in the detailed potential return-on-investment calculations shown below.  Either an early assignment on the day prior to the ex-dividend date or on the April 11th, 2025 options expiration date would be a desirable result given the attractive annualized return-on-investment upon assignment for either outcome.  The next quarterly earnings report is not until May 29th, 2025 which, as desired, is after the April 11th options expiration date.

As detailed on the table at the bottom of this post, all nine criteria of the Dividend Capture Strategy are met with this position.  The Covered Calls Advisor's current Overall Market Meter outlook is Neutral and an in-the-money strike price was used in this case.  The probability that this position will be in-the-money and therefore assigned on its April 11th expiration date was 70.2% when this position was established this morning.  There are 22 analysts covering NetApp and their average target price is $120.42 which is +35.6% above today's purchase price.


As detailed below, two potential return-on-investment results are:

  •  +1.1% absolute return (equivalent to +56.0% annualized return-on-investment for the next 7 days) if the stock is assigned early (last business day prior to the April 4th ex-dividend date); OR 
  • +1.7% absolute return (equivalent to +43.9% annualized return over the next 14 days) if the stock is assigned on the April 11th, 2025 options expiration date.


NetApp Inc. (NTAP) -- New Covered Calls Position
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was:
3/28/2025 Bought 200 NetApp Inc. shares @ $88.78.
3/28/2025 Sold 2 NetApp 4/11/2025 $86.00 Call options @ $3.70 per share.
Note: the Implied Volatility of the Call options was 29.5 when this position was established.
4/4/2025 Upcoming quarterly ex-dividend of $.52 per share.

Two possible overall performance results (including commissions) for this NetApp Inc. Covered Calls position are as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $17,017.34
= ($88.78 - $3.70) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$738.66
= ($3.70 * 200 shares) - $1.34 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If options exercised early on April 3rd, the last business day prior to the April 4th, 2025 ex-div date): +$0.00; or
(b) Dividend Income (If Dell stock assigned on the April 11th, 2025 options expiration -- so the dividend is captured): +$104.00
= ($.52 dividend per share x 200 shares)
(c) Capital Appreciation (If NetApp Call options assigned early on Feb. 3rd): -$556.00
+($86.00 - $88.78) * 200 shares; or
(c) Capital Appreciation (If shares assigned at $86.00 strike price at options expiration): -$556.00
+($86.00 - $88.78) * 200 shares

1. Total Net Profit (If options exercised early): +$182.66
= (+$738.66 options income +$0.00 dividend income -$556.00 capital appreciation); or
2. Total Net Profit (If NTAP shares assigned at $86.00 at the April 11th, 2025 expiration): +$286.66
= (+$738.66 options income + $104.00 dividend income - $556.00 capital appreciation)

1. Absolute Return-on-Investment [If option exercised on business day prior to the April 4th ex-dividend date]: +1.1%
= +$182.66/$17,017.34
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If option exercised early): +56.0%
= (+$182.66/$17,017.34) * (365/7 days); or
2. Absolute Return-on-Investment (If NetApp shares assigned on the April 11th, 2025 options expiration date): +1.7%
= +$286.66/$17,017.34
Annualized Return-on-Investment (If NetApp shares assigned at $86.00 at the April 11th, 2025 options expiration date): +43.9%
= (+$286.66/$17,017.34) * (365/14 days)

Either outcome provides an attractive return-on-investment result for this NetApp Inc. Covered Calls investment.  These returns will be achieved as long as the stock is above the $86.00 strike price at assignment.  However, if the stock declines below the strike price, the breakeven price of $84.56 = ($88.78 stock price - $3.70 Call options price - $.52 dividend) provides 4.8% downside protection below today's stock purchase price.

At least eight of the nine metrics used in the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture Strategy spreadsheet (see below) must be 'YES' prior to establishing a new Covered Calls position using the Covered Calls Advisor's Dividend Capture strategy.  As shown in the chart below, all nine criteria are achieved for this NetApp Inc. Covered Calls position.


Thursday, March 27, 2025

Covered Call Position Established in Taiwan Semiconductor ADR

This morning my net debit limit order was executed and a Covered Call position was established in Taiwan Semiconductor ADR (ticker TSM) when the Covered Calls Advisor's buy/write limit order for the April 11th, 2025 $162.50s executed at a net debit price of $159.57. One hundred Taiwan Semi shares were purchased at $169.83 and 1 April 11th, 2025 $162.50 Call was sold at $10.26 per share. So, the corresponding time value (aka extrinsic value) was $2.93 per share = [$10.26 Call option premium - ($169.83 stock purchase price - $162.50 strike price)]. The probability that the position will close in-the-money and therefore by assigned on the 4/11/2025 options expiration date was 69.0% when this position was established. In addition, the Implied Volatility of the Calls was 41.8 which, as desired, was above the VIX which is now 18.5.   

As detailed below a potential return-on-investment result if this Taiwan Semi Covered Call position if the stock is assigned on its April 11th, 2025 options expiration date is +1.8% absolute return (equivalent to +44.6% annualized return-on-investment over the next 15 days of this investment).

Taiwan Semiconductor ADR (TSM) -- New Covered Call Position
The simultaneous buy/write transactions was as follows:
3/27/2025 Bought 100 shares of Taiwan Semiconductor stock @ $169.83 per share 
3/27/2025 Sold 1 Taiwan Semi April 11th, 2025 $162.50 Call option @ $10.26 per share

A potential overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $15,957.67
= ($169.83 - $10.26) * 100 shares + $.67 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Option Income: +$1,025.33
= ($10.26 * 100 shares) - $.67 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If TSM stock is above the $162.50 strike price and therefore assigned at the 4/11/2025 option expiration date): -$733.00
= ($162.50 - $169.93) * 100 shares

Potential Net Profit (If stock price is above $162.50 strike price at the 4/11/2025 options expiration): +$292.33
= (+$1,025.33 option income +$0.00 dividend income - $733.00 capital appreciation) 

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +1.8%
= +292.33/$15,957.67
Potential Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment: +44.6%
= (+292.33/$15,957.67) * (365/15 days)

Monday, March 24, 2025

Established Covered Calls in Nvidia Corporation

Today a Covered Calls position was established in Nvidia Corporation (ticker NVDA). Three hundred shares were purchased at $120.39 and three April 11th, 2025 weekly Call options were sold at the $120.00 strike price at $4.88 per share--a buy/write net debit amount of $115.51 per share which provides a $4.49 per share time value profit potential.  

As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result is +3.9% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +78.7% annualized return-on-investment for the next 18 days) if the Nvidia share price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $120.00 strike price) and therefore assigned on its April 18th, 2025 options expiration date.  

Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) -- New Covered Calls Position

The buy/write net limit order transaction was as follows:
3/24/2025 Bought 300 Nvidia Corporation shares at $120.39.
3/24/2025 Sold 3 NVDA 4/11/2025 $120.00 Call options @ $4.88 per share.  The Implied Volatility of the Calls was 49.9 when these Calls were sold.

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this Nvidia Corporation Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $34,655.01
= ($120.39 - $4.88) * 300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$1,461.99
= ($4.88 * 300 shares) - $2.01 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 300 Nvidia shares assigned at the $120.00 strike price at expiration): -$117.00
+($120.00 strike price - $120.39 stock purchase price) * 300 shares

Total Net Profit Potential (If 300 Nvidia shares in-the-money and therefore assigned at the $120.00 strike price at the options expiration date): +$1,344.99
= (+$1,461.99 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $117.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +3.9%
= +$1,344.99/$34,655.01
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment: +78.7%
= (+$1,344.99/$34,655.01) * (365/18 days)

Friday, March 21, 2025

Covered Calls Position Established in Freeport-McMoran Inc.

This morning a new Covered Calls net debit buy/write limit order was established in Freeport-McMoran Inc. (ticker FCX) for the April 4th, 2025 expiration and at the $38.00 strike price.  The order was placed soon after the market opened at a $37.26 net debit limit price, so the extrinsic value (which represents the maximum profit potential for this position) was $.74 per share [$2.11 Call options premium - ($39.37 stock purchase price - $38.00 strike price)].  This limit order was filled at 9:59am ET.  The probability that this position will be in-the-money and therefore assigned on its options expiration date was 64.7% when this order was transacted.  As preferred, there is no earnings report prior to the 4/4/2025 options expiration date.

As detailed below, the potential return-on-investment result is +2.0% absolute return-on-investment in 14 days (equivalent to a +51.3% annualized return-on-investment).  


Freeport-McMoran Inc. (FCX) -- New Covered Calls Position
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was as follows:
3/21/2025 Bought 500 shares of Freeport-McMoran stock @ $39.37 per share.  
3/21/2025 Sold 5 Freeport-McMoran April 4th 28th, 2025 $38.00 Call options @ $2.11 per share.
Note: The Implied Volatility of the Call options was 42.3 when this transaction was executed which, as I prefer, is well above the current S&P 500 Volatility Index (i.e. VIX). 

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $18,633.35
= ($39.37 - $2.11) * 500 shares + $3.35 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,051.65
= ($2.11 * 500 shares) - $3.35
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00 
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Freeport-McMoran stock is above $38.00 strike price at the 4/3/2025 options expiration date): -$685.00
= ($38.00 strike price - $39.37 stock purchase price) * 500 shares

Total Net Profit Potential: +$366.65
= (+$1,051.65 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $685.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +2.0%
= +$366.65/$18,633.35
Potential Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment: +51.3%
= (+$366.65/$18,633.35) * (365/14 days)


Thursday, March 20, 2025

Covered Call Position Established in Humana Inc.

Today my net debit limit order was executed and a Covered Call position was established in Humana Inc. (ticker HUM) when the Covered Calls Advisor's buy/write limit order for the April 4th, 2025 $255.00 strike price was executed at a net debit price of $245.85. One hundred Humana shares were purchased at $266.35 and 1 April 4th, 2025 $255.00 Call was sold at $20.50 per share. So, the corresponding time value (aka extrinsic value) was $9.15 per share = [$20.50 Call options premium - ($266.35 stock purchase price - $255.00 strike price)].  The Implied Volatility of this Call option was very high at 69.7 when this position was established so, as shown below, the potential return-on-investment is also very high.    

Also, Humana goes ex-dividend on 3/28/2025) at $.885 (a 1.3% annualized dividend yield) at today's stock purchase price. This dividend is included in the potential return-on-investment result shown below. Also, as preferred, there is no earnings report prior to the options expiration date.
 
As detailed below a potential return-on-investment result if this Humana Covered Call position if the stock is assigned on its March 28th, 2025 options expiration date is +4.1% absolute return (equivalent to +99.3% annualized return-on-investment over the next 15 days).

Humana Inc. (HUM) -- New Covered Call Position
The simultaneous buy/write transactions was as follows:
3/20/2025 Bought 100 shares of Humana Inc. stock @ $266.35 per share 
3/20/2025 Sold 1 Humana March 28th, 2025 $255.00 Call option @ $20.50 per share
3/28/2025 Upcoming ex-dividend at $.885 per share

A potential overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $24,585.67
= ($266.35 - $20.50) * 100 shares + $.67 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$2,049.33
= ($20.50 * 100 shares) - $.67 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If Humana stock assigned on the March 28th options expiration date): +$88.50
= $.885 dividend per share x 100 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Humana stock is above the $255.00 strike price and therefore assigned on the 4/4/2025 option expiration date): -$1,135.00
= ($255.00 strike price - $266.35 stock purchase price) * 100 shares

Potential Net Profit (If stock price is above its $255.00 strike price at the 4/4/2025 options expiration date): +$1,002.83
= (+$2,049.33 options income +$88.50 dividend income - $1,135.00 capital appreciation) 

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +4.1%
= +$1,002.83/$24,585.67
Potential Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment: +99.3%
= (+$1,002.83/$24,585.67) * (365/15 days)


Friday, March 14, 2025

Covered Calls Position Established in Alphabet Inc.

This morning a new Covered Calls net debit buy/write limit order was established in Alphabet Inc. (ticker GOOGL) for the March 28th, 2025 expiration and at the $155.00 strike price.  The order was placed soon after the market opened at a $152.94 limit price, so the extrinsic value (which represents the maximum profit potential for this position) was $2.06 per share [$9.57 Call option premium - ($162.51 stock purchase price - $$155.00 strike price)].  This limit order was filled at 10:01 am ET.  The probability that this position will be in-the-money and therefore assigned on its options expiration date was 74.2% when this order was transacted.

As detailed below in the QVG (Quality+Value+Growth) stock screener I developed, Alphabet meets every filter criteria.  In addition, when the stock price declined below $165.90, the Morningstar rating changed from 4 stars to 5 stars (which is their highest rating) -- a rating that is limited to the top 10% of companies in their coverage universe. 


As detailed below, the potential return-on-investment result is +1.3% absolute return-on-investment in 14 days (equivalent to a +35.0% annualized return-on-investment).  


Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) -- New Covered Calls Position
The simultaneous buy/write transaction was as follows:
3/14/2025 Bought 200 shares of Alphabet Inc. stock @ $162.51 per share.  
3/14/2025 Sold 2 Alphabet Inc. March 28th, 2025 $155.00 Call options @ $9.57 per share.
Note: The Implied Volatility of the Call options was 37.7 when this transaction was executed which, as I prefer, is well above the current 22.5 of the S&P 500 Volatility Index (i.e. VIX). 

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $30,589.34
= ($162.51 - $9.57) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$1,912.66
= ($9.57 * 200 shares) - $1.34
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00 
(c) Capital Appreciation (If Alphabet stock is above $155.00 strike price at the 3/28/2025 options expiration date): -$1,502.00
= ($155.00 strike price - $162.51 stock purchase price) * 200 shares

Total Net Profit Potential: +$410.66
= (+$1,912.66 options income +$0.00 dividend income - $1,502.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +1.3%
= +$410.66/$30,589.34
Potential Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment: +35.0%
= (+$410.66/$30,589.34) * (365/14 days)


Thursday, March 13, 2025

Established Covered Calls in Robinhood Markets Inc.

Early this afternoon a Covered Calls position was established in Robinhood Markets Inc. (ticker HOOD). Three hundred shares were purchased at $36.02 and three March 28th, 2025 weekly Call options were sold at the $32.00 strike price at $5.16 per share--a buy/write net debit amount of $30.86 per share which provides a $1.14 per share time value profit potential.  A Covered Calls position was established instead of a 100% Cash-Secured Puts position since the maximum time value profit potential of $1.14 per share for the Covered Calls exceeds the $1.05 per share time value available for the Puts when this position was established. 

As detailed below, a potential return-on-investment result is +3.7% absolute return-on-investment (equivalent to +89.3% annualized return-on-investment for the next 15 days) if the Robinhood share price is in-the-money (i.e. above the $32.00 strike price) and therefore assigned on its March 28th, 2025 options expiration date.  The probability this outcome will be achieved was 69.4% when this position was established.  

Robinhood is a $32 billion market cap company in the Investment Banking and Brokerage sub-industry within the Capital Markets industry.  It is the 5th largest company in that sub-industry behind Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Schwab, and Interactive Brokers.  Something that appeals to me about Robinhood is their highly fintech business model.  Their 47.8% net margin is substantially greater than the 23% to 30% net margin range of MS, GS, and Schwab and they dwarf the 8% of Interactive Brokers.  They are also growing rapidly having just reported year-over-year stats through February 2025 such as: (1) +8% funded new customers; (2) +45% net new deposits; and (3) +58% assets under custody.  

As Covered Calls investors, we try to take advantage of temporary spikes in Implied Volatility by selling Calls against the stock purchased.  Because of the overall market decline and the much greater decline in Robinhood's stock price over the past month, the Implied Volatility of the Call options sold was an incredibly high 96.4 today when this position was established.  So, this position is a very risky one, but one in which selling a deep in-the-money strike price helps to mitigate the risk while at the same time establishing the potential for a substantial return-on-investment if the stock price is above the $32.00 strike price on the March 28th options expiration date.    

 
Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) -- New Covered Calls Position

The buy/write market order transaction was as follows:
3/13/2025 Bought 300 Robinhood Markets shares at $36.02.
3/13/2025 Sold 3 HOOD 3/28/2025 $32.00 Call options @ $5.16 per share.  These $32.00 Calls were 12.6% in-the-money when this position was established.  

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) for this Robinhood Covered Calls position is as follows:
Covered Calls Net Investment: $9,260.01
= ($36.02 - $5.16) * 300 shares + $2.01 commission

Net Profit:
(a) Options Income: +$1,545.99
= ($5.16 * 300 shares) - $2.01 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00
(c) Capital Appreciation (If 300 Robinhood shares assigned at the $32.00 strike price at the options expiration): -$1,206.00
+($32.00 strike price - $36.02 stock purchase price) * 300 shares

Total Net Profit Potential: +$339.99
= (+$1,545.99 options income + $0.00 dividend income - $1,206.00 capital appreciation)

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +3.7%
= +$339.99/$9,260.01
Potential Annualized Return-on-Investment: +89.3%
= (+$339.99/$9,260.01) * (365/15 days)

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Covered Calls Position Established in Taiwan Semiconductor ADR

Today my net debit limit order was executed and a Covered Calls position was established in Taiwan Semiconductor ADR (ticker TSM) when the Covered Calls Advisor's buy/write limit order for the March 28th, 2025 $160.00s executed at a net debit price of $156.60. Two hundred Taiwan Semi shares were purchased at $169.68 and 2 March 28th, 2025 $160.00 Calls were sold at $13.08 per share. So, the corresponding time value (aka extrinsic value) was $3.40 per share = [$13.08 Call options premium - ($169.68 stock purchase price - $160.00 strike price)]. Given the Covered Calls Advisor's current Neutral Overall Market Meter outlook, a slightly in-the-money Covered Calls position was established--the probability that the position will close in-the-money and therefore by assigned on the 3/28/2025 options expiration date was 70.2% when this position was established. In addition, the Implied Volatility of the Calls was 48.8 which, as desired, was above the VIX which is now 28.7. 

Taiwan Semi goes ex-dividend in one week (on 3/18/2025) at $.6942 (a 1.6% annualized dividend yield) at today's stock purchase price. This dividend is included in the potential return-on-investment result shown below. Also, as preferred, there is no earnings report prior to the options expiration date and the analysts' current average stock target price is $234.16 per share (+38.0% above today's purchase price).
 
As shown in my GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price) stock screener results below, TSM meets every filter criteria.  

As detailed below a potential return-on-investment result if this Taiwan Semi Covered Calls position if the stock is assigned on its March 28th, 2025 options expiration date is +2.6% absolute return (equivalent to +56.0% annualized return-on-investment over the next 17 days).

Taiwan Semiconductor ADR (TSM) -- New Covered Calls Position
The simultaneous buy/write transactions was as follows:
3/11/2025 Bought 200 shares of Taiwan Semiconductor stock @ $169.08 per share 
3/11/2025 Sold 2 Taiwan Semi March 28th, 2025 $160.00 Call options @ $13.08 per share
3/18/2025 Upcoming ex-dividend at $.6942 per share

A potential overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Calls Cost Basis: $31,321.34
= ($169.68 - $13.08) * 200 shares + $1.34 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Options Income: +$2,614.66
= ($13.08 * 200 shares) - $1.34 commission
(b) Dividend Income (If TSM stock assigned on the March 28th options expiration date): +$138.84
= $.6942 dividend per share x 200 shares
(c) Capital Appreciation (If TSM stock is above the $160.00 strike price and therefore assigned at the 3/28/2025 expiration date): -$1,936.00
= ($160.00 - $169.68) * 200 shares

Potential Net Profit (If stock price is above $160.00 strike price at the 3/28/2025 options expiration): +$817.50
= (+$2,614.66 options income +$138.84 dividend income - $1,936.00 capital appreciation) 

Potential Absolute Return-on-Investment: +2.6%
= +$817.50/$31,321.34
Potential Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment: +56.0%
= (+$817.50/$31,321.34) * (365/17 days)


Monday, March 10, 2025

Covered Call Established in Boeing Co.

A Covered Call buy/write limit order for Boeing Co. (ticker BA) at a net debit price of $136.54 at the March 28th, 2025 $140.00 strike price was executed today when 100 shares were purchased at $147.74 and one March 28th, 2025 Call option was sold at $11.20.  The Implied Volatility of this Call option was very high at 50.3 which is substantially above the current 27.5 for the S&P 500 Volatility Index (i.e. VIX).    

Boeing is one of the world's duopoly companies (along with Airbus) in the commercial airline industry and is also a top 5 U.S. Defense contractor.  The company has struggled greatly in recent years from a series of aircraft groundings and mismanagement.  Warren Buffett says to buy at maximum pessimism and that is what I'm hoping to be doing with this position.  Boeing has a huge backlog of orders and beginning with this current quarter (Q1 2025) I expect them to begin reporting year-over-year quarterly increases in revenue and earnings.  

Given my current cautious outlook, I have been out of the market (holding only money market cash) since the February monthly options expiration date.  With today's Boeing position, I am beginning the process of dipping my toes back into the market albeit with moderately conservative in-the-money Covered Call positions.   The probability that this Boeing Covered Call position will be in-the-money and therefore assigned on its March 28th expiration date was 67.1% when today's position was established.  Importantly for me, the next quarterly earnings report on April 23rd, 2025 is after the March 28th, 2025 options expiration date.

As detailed below, potential return-on-investment results +2.5% absolute return (equivalent to +51.3% annualized return-on-investment over the next 18 days) if the stock is assigned on the March 28th options expiration date.


Boeing Co. (BA) -- New Covered Call Position

The buy/write transaction was as follows:
3/10/2025 Bought 100 shares of Boeing Co. stock @ $147.74 per share.  
3/10/2021 Sold 1 Boeing March 28th, 2025 $140.00 Call option @ $11.20 per share.

A possible overall performance result (including commissions) would be as follows:
Covered Call Cost Basis: $13,654.67
= ($147.74 - $11.20) * 100 shares + $.67 commission

Net Profit Components:
(a) Option Income: +$1,119.33
= ($11.20 * 100 shares) - $.67 commission
(b) Dividend Income: +$0.00 
(c) Capital Appreciation (If BA stock is above the $140.00 strike price at the March 28th, 2025 expiration): -$774.00
= ($140.00 - $147.74) * 100 shares

Total Net Profit: +$345.33
= (+$1,119.33 Call option income + $0.00 dividend income - $774.00 capital appreciation)

Absolute Return-on-Investment: +2.5%
= +$345.33/$13,654.67
Equivalent Annualized Return-on-Investment: +51.3%
= (+$345.33/$13,654.67) * (365/18 days)


The downside 'breakeven price' at expiration is at $136.54 ($147.74 - $11.20), which is 7.6% below the current market price of $147.74.